Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 30

St. Louis Cardinals' Masyn Winn rounds the bases after hitting a solo home run during the third inning of a baseball game against the Cincinnati Reds Thursday, Sept. 12, 2024, in St. Louis.
(AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
BetMGM Sportsbook Promos
  • The Pirates are -120 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Pirates vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Pirates / Cardinals TV Channel: CATV | SNPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (-120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+100) on August 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15 pm in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Pirates are 66-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 74-60 ATS.

Pirates vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Pirates starting pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft 13-5, 3.57 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore 5-12, 5.46 ERA

Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates-1.5 +140O 8 -115-120
Cardinals +1.5 -170U 8 -105+100

Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Pirates vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Rafael Flores has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+11.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+9.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Rafael Flores has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.55 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Rafael Flores has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.50 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.35 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • JJ Wetherholt has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+12.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • JJ Wetherholt has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Nathan Church has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Nathan Church has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+9.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.60 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 away games (+1.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+11.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.45 Units / 21% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 65-68 against the Run Line (-9.75 Units / -5.6% ROI).

  • 66-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -8.95% ROI
  • 72-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.25 Units / 4.14% ROI
  • 60-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.9 Units / -12.55% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 74-60 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -0.58% ROI).

  • 68-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 2.86% ROI
  • 59-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.45 Units / -12.89% ROI
  • 71-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.9 Units / 3.92% ROI

Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Esmerlyn Valdez +400
Jordan Walker +425
Oneil Cruz +425
Brandon Lowe +450
Alec Burleson +500

Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Burleson 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Jared Triolo 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jordan Walker 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Nick Gonzales 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jimmy Crooks 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jordan Walker 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Jared Triolo 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Nick Yorke 0.5 -140 0.5 +105

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Pirates are just 5-34 (.128) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 27-38 (.415) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 12-77 (.135) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 19-121 (.136) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Cardinals are just 25-15 (.625) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals are just 5-48 (.094) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals are just 13-24 (.351) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .348 (2,548 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .339 (3,654 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .270 at home this season — best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .488 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .362 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .346 (616 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 41% of their games this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates have won just 17% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The Cardinals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH (3,408 batted balls) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Pirates vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.