- The Pirates are -120 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Pirates vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Pirates / Cardinals TV Channel: CATV | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+100) on August 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15 pm in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Pirates are 66-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 74-60 ATS.
Pirates vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft 13-5, 3.57 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore 5-12, 5.46 ERA
Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 +140 | O 8 -115 | -120 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -170 | U 8 -105 | +100 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Flores has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+11.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+9.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- Rafael Flores has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.55 Units / 59% ROI)
- Rafael Flores has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.50 Units / 59% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.35 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- JJ Wetherholt has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+12.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- JJ Wetherholt has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nathan Church has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nathan Church has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+9.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.60 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 away games (+1.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.10 Units / 21% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+11.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.45 Units / 21% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 65-68 against the Run Line (-9.75 Units / -5.6% ROI).
- 66-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -8.95% ROI
- 72-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.25 Units / 4.14% ROI
- 60-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.9 Units / -12.55% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 74-60 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -0.58% ROI).
- 68-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 2.86% ROI
- 59-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.45 Units / -12.89% ROI
- 71-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.9 Units / 3.92% ROI
Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Esmerlyn Valdez | +400 |
| Jordan Walker | +425 |
| Oneil Cruz | +425 |
| Brandon Lowe | +450 |
| Alec Burleson | +500 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jared Triolo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jordan Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nick Gonzales | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ivan Herrera | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Crooks | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jordan Walker | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ivan Herrera | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jared Triolo | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Nick Yorke | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 5-34 (.128) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Pirates are just 27-38 (.415) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Pirates are just 12-77 (.135) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
The Pirates are just 19-121 (.136) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are just 25-15 (.625) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Cardinals are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Cardinals are just 5-48 (.094) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
The Cardinals are just 13-24 (.351) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of .348 (2,548 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of .339 (3,654 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Pirates are batting .270 at home this season — best in MLB.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .488 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .362 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .346 (616 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 41% of their games this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
The Pirates have won just 17% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cardinals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.
Cardinals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH (3,408 batted balls) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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