Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 13, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Cardinals (34-27) are -190 favorites vs the Pirates (24-34)
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller (2-5), 5.25 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Zachary Thompson (0-0), 2.25 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSMW

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+155) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-190) on Monday, June 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Pirates vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Pirates are 24-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 33-28 ATS.

Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates+1.5 -120O 9.5 -120+155
Cardinals -1.5 +100U 9.5 +100-190

Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s matchup with 77.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Pirates and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+11.25 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+8.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games at home (+6.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+4.45 Units / 89% ROI)

Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 425 0.5 -800
Brendan Donovan 0.5 725 0.5 -2500
Dylan Carlson 0.5 800 0.5 -3000
Harrison Bader 0.5 525 0.5 -1200
Nolan Arenado 0.5 333 0.5 -600

Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 -250 0.5 160
Brendan Donovan 0.5 -275 0.5 190
Dylan Carlson 0.5 -250 0.5 165
Harrison Bader 0.5 -225 0.5 150
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -275 0.5 185

Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 140 0.5 -200
Brendan Donovan 0.5 180 0.5 -275
Dylan Carlson 0.5 180 0.5 -275
Harrison Bader 0.5 175 0.5 -250
Nolan Arenado 0.5 120 0.5 -165

Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mitch Keller 3.5 -120 3.5 -115
Thompson 3.5 -150 3.5 105
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 49 games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 27 away games (+8.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 away games (+6.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 22 away games (+5.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 22 away games (+5.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 56 games (+5.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+4.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+4.00 Units / 25% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 26-32 against the Run Line (-10.25 Units / -14.15% ROI).

  • 24-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.16% ROI
  • 22-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.65 Units / -18.42% ROI
  • 31-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.6 Units / 10.21% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 33-28 against the Run Line (+3.75 Units / 4.78% ROI).

  • 34-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 2.89% ROI
  • 30-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -1.41% ROI
  • 28-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -7.36% ROI

Opponents are hitting .425 (127-for-299) against Mitch Keller in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: .332 — 0 Percentile.

Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .383 (689 PA’s) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 0 Percentile.

Mitch Keller has a strike rate of just 60% (280/466) against right-handed batters this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Mitch Keller has a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% (384/694) since the start of last season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 62% — fifth Percentile.

Zachary Thompson: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Thompson has limited playing time.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Pirates are just 70-18 (.795) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.

The Pirates are just 13-17 (.433) at home this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Pirates are just 42-97 (.302) on the road since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.

The Pirates are 14-2 (.875) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Cardinals are 27-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .902.

The Cardinals are 11-3 (.786) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Cardinals are 46-1 (.979) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Cardinals are 20-4 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Pirates are batting just .146 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .303 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .224 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.

Pirates hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Cardinals hitters have 168 extra-base hits out of 395 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

The Cardinals are batting just .155 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .228.

Cardinals hitters have 195 extra-base hits out of 467 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .454 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Pirates pitchers have walked 185 of 1,908 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 244 of 2,424 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 210 of 2,217 batters (10%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 22% in close and late situations since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 54 of 543 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 182 of 1,962 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
  • Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Josh VanMeter (Pirates): Finger, D10
  • Richard Hembree (Pirates): Right Calf, D15
  • Kevin Newman (Pirates): Groin, D60
  • Jacob Marisnick (Pirates): Thumb, D10
  • Benjamin Gamel (Pirates): Hamstring, D10
  • Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Dillon Peters (Pirates): Undisclosed, D15
  • Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Yoshitomo Tsutsugo (Pirates): Undisclosed, D10
  • Greg Allen (Pirates): Hamstring, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.