Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 14, 2022, 11:31 AM
  • The (37-23) are favorites vs the (37-23)
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson (0-3), 7.53 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas (4-4), 2.93 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSMW

The Pittsburgh Pirates () visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals () on Tuesday, June 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Pirates vs Cardinals Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Pirates are 24-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 34-28 ATS.

Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates O
Cardinals U

Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Pirates and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+9.95 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 86% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Tyler O’Neill has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.40 Units / 32% ROI)

Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Harrison Bader 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 +280 0.5 -450

Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Donovan 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Harrison Bader 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Nolan Gorman 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Tyler O'Neill 0.5 -225 0.5 +155

Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Harrison Bader 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 +130 0.5 -185

Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matthew Liberatore 3.5 -125 3.5 -115
JT Brubaker 4.5 +100 4.5 -140
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+7.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 away games (+6.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 away games (+4.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 58 games (+3.90 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 57 games (+6.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games at home (+5.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.70 Units / 16% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 26-33 against the Run Line (-11.5 Units / -15.6% ROI).

  • 24-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -1.76% ROI
  • 23-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.65 Units / -16.56% ROI
  • 31-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.45 Units / 8.28% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 34-28 against the Run Line (+4.8 Units / 6.04% ROI).

  • 35-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 4.08% ROI
  • 31-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.07% ROI
  • 28-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -8.91% ROI

JT Brubaker has a strike rate of just 55% (144/262) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 47% of JT Brubaker’s pitches (124/262) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 29% (45/157) against JT Brubaker with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.

JT Brubaker has a strike rate of just 62% (293/472) against right-handed batters this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — ninth Percentile.

Miles Mikolas: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 21% (16 SO in 77 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 28% (34/122) against Miles Mikolas this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has a strike rate of 69% (789/1,152) this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 94th Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed an OPS of just .530 (146 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .676 — 91st Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Pirates are just 70-18 (.795) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.

The Pirates are just 10-32 (.238) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Pirates are just 2-15 (.118) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.

The Pirates are just 23-29 (.442) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Cardinals are 19-12 (.613) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Cardinals are 21-4 (.840) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Cardinals are 12-3 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Cardinals are just 1-25 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.

The Pirates are batting just .206 with two outs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .452 (4,250 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .302 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

The Pirates have scored in at least three different innings in just 33% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

Cardinals hitters have 171 extra-base hits out of 399 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .787 (1,738 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .459 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .269 (1,271 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Pirates pitchers have walked 185 of 1,916 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 817 of 8,396 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 11 of 103 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 244 of 2,432 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 183 of 1,971 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 807 of 8,379 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
  • Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Josh VanMeter (Pirates): Finger, D10
  • Duane Underwood Jr. (Pirates): COVID-19, D15
  • Kevin Newman (Pirates): Groin, D60
  • Jacob Marisnick (Pirates): Thumb, D10
  • Benjamin Gamel (Pirates): Hamstring, D10
  • Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Dillon Peters (Pirates): Undisclosed, D15
  • Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Yoshitomo Tsutsugo (Pirates): Undisclosed, D10
  • Greg Allen (Pirates): Hamstring, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.