- The – (37-23) are favorites vs the – (37-23)
- Pirates starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson (0-3), 7.53 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas (4-4), 2.93 ERA
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Pittsburgh Pirates () visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals () on Tuesday, June 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Pirates vs Cardinals Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Pirates are 24-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 34-28 ATS.
Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | O | ||
| Cardinals | U |
Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+9.95 Units / 75% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.40 Units / 32% ROI)
Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Harrison Bader | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Harrison Bader | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Tyler O'Neill | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Harrison Bader | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Liberatore | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -115 |
| JT Brubaker | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -140 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+7.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 away games (+6.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 away games (+4.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 58 games (+3.90 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 57 games (+6.15 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games at home (+5.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.70 Units / 16% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 26-33 against the Run Line (-11.5 Units / -15.6% ROI).
- 24-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -1.76% ROI
- 23-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.65 Units / -16.56% ROI
- 31-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.45 Units / 8.28% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 34-28 against the Run Line (+4.8 Units / 6.04% ROI).
- 35-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 4.08% ROI
- 31-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.07% ROI
- 28-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -8.91% ROI
Bryse Wilson: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
JT Brubaker has a strike rate of just 55% (144/262) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 47% of JT Brubaker’s pitches (124/262) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 29% (45/157) against JT Brubaker with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
JT Brubaker has a strike rate of just 62% (293/472) against right-handed batters this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — ninth Percentile.
Miles Mikolas: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 21% (16 SO in 77 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 28% (34/122) against Miles Mikolas this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has a strike rate of 69% (789/1,152) this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 94th Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed an OPS of just .530 (146 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .676 — 91st Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 70-18 (.795) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Pirates are just 10-32 (.238) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Pirates are just 2-15 (.118) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The Pirates are just 23-29 (.442) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are 19-12 (.613) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Cardinals are 21-4 (.840) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Cardinals are 12-3 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Cardinals are just 1-25 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .206 with two outs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .452 (4,250 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .302 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
The Pirates have scored in at least three different innings in just 33% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 171 extra-base hits out of 399 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .787 (1,738 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .459 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .269 (1,271 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 185 of 1,916 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 817 of 8,396 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 11 of 103 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 244 of 2,432 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 183 of 1,971 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 807 of 8,379 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
- Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Josh VanMeter (Pirates): Finger, D10
- Duane Underwood Jr. (Pirates): COVID-19, D15
- Kevin Newman (Pirates): Groin, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Pirates): Thumb, D10
- Benjamin Gamel (Pirates): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
- Dillon Peters (Pirates): Undisclosed, D15
- Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Yoshitomo Tsutsugo (Pirates): Undisclosed, D10
- Greg Allen (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
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