- The Pirates are -102 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Pirates vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Pirates / Cardinals TV Channel: CATV | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-102) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-118) on May 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45 pm in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Pirates are 24-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 30-16 ATS.
Pirates vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Carmen Mlodzinski 3-3, 4.44 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Michael McGreevy 3-2, 2.15 ERA
Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -115 | -102 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -105 | -118 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Spencer Horwitz has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Konnor Griffin has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 away games (+11.00 Units / 110% ROI)
- Konnor Griffin has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Konnor Griffin has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- JJ Wetherholt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+13.70 Units / 137% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+11.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.70 Units / 97% ROI)
- Michael McGreevy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 41% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+8.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 away games (+6.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+5.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 away games (+4.30 Units / 13% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 30 games (+10.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 24-23 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 1.83% ROI).
- 24-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -8.25% ROI
- 26-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 4.87% ROI
- 21-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.35 Units / -14.07% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 30-16 against the Run Line (+6.9 Units / 9.81% ROI).
- 28-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.65 Units / 28.32% ROI
- 21-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.3 Units / -8.34% ROI
- 23-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -0.67% ROI
Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | +400 |
| Oneil Cruz | +450 |
| Jordan Walker | +575 |
| Nolan Gorman | +650 |
| Alec Burleson | +725 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jordan Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Oneil Cruz | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Alec Burleson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ivan Herrera | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Walker | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Victor Scott II | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Michael McGreevy | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +110 |
| Nathan Church | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Pirates are just 1-12 (.077) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Pirates are 22-3 (.880) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Pirates are 15-8 (.652) after a loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .482.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are 16-6 (.727) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Pirates (seventh in runs scored).
The Cardinals are 3-16 (.158) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 29 extra-base hits out of 121 total hits (just 24%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Pirates hitters have struck out in 28% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .648 (876 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Pirates hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 572 of their 1,895 plate appearances (30%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .275 with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .249 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
The Cardinals are batting just .212 with two outs this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Pirates pitchers this season — best in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have allowed three-ball counts to 19% of batters they faced (358/1,848 PA’s) this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Pirates won just 11% of the time since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
Cardinals pitchers have struck out just 17% of left-handed batters they faced this season — lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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