- The Pirates are -115 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-105) on Friday, September 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Pirates are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Pirates vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Pirates are 61-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 64-70 ATS.
Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -110 | -115 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -110 | -105 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Palacios has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 19 away games (+14.45 Units / 56% ROI)
- Josh Palacios has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+11.25 Units / 77% ROI)
- Josh Palacios has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+10.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- Alfonso Rivas has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.70 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+12.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+9.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Adam Wainwright has hit the Earned Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.30 Units / 40% ROI)
Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Alika Williams | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Alika Williams | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Alika Williams | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Dakota Hudson | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 61 of their last 106 games (+12.09 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 37 games (+3.39 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.67 Units / 14% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+7.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 64 games (+4.55 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.10 Units / 20% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 67-66 against the Run Line (-15.3 Units / -8.69% ROI).
- 61-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 2.49% ROI
- 71-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.65 Units / 6.64% ROI
- 56-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.5 Units / -14.81% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 64-70 against the Run Line (-11.45 Units / -6.7% ROI).
- 58-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -35.4 Units / -20.4% ROI
- 62-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.3 Units / -6.28% ROI
- 65-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -1.77% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – home
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
keys to the game – away
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are 27-9 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 10-127 (.073) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Cardinals are just 43-46 (.483) after a win as favorites since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Cardinals are just 3-57 (.050) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .123 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
The Pirates are batting just .150 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .668 (3,428 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .297 (3,428 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .335 (2,644 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .733 (3,520 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .696.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Cardinals are batting .169 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 22% in close and late situations since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Pirates pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 90 times since last season — tied for fewest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have walked 341 of 4,002 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 31% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D10
- Matthew Liberatore (Cardinals): Back, D15
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Abdomen, D10
- Guillermo Zuñiga (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
- Angel Perdomo (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Jarlín García (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Henry Davis (Pirates): Hand, D10
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Tucupita Marcano (Pirates): Knee, D60
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
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