- The Cardinals are -155 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates starting pitcher: Thomas Hatch
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Drew Rom
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+125) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-155) on Saturday, September 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Pirates vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Pirates are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 0-0 ATS.
Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -150 | O 9 +100 | +125 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -120 | -155 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 75.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Pirates vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Palacios has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.45 Units / 55% ROI)
- Josh Palacios has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Alfonso Rivas has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Josh Palacios has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+8.25 Units / 12% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 43 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+11.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 40 games (+8.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Alika Williams | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alika Williams | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alika Williams | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rom | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 61 of their last 106 games (+12.09 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 37 games (+3.39 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.67 Units / 14% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+7.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 64 games (+4.55 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.10 Units / 20% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Thomas Hatch has not struck out any hitters in 17 PA’s vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (7 games) — tied for lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Thomas Hatch has not allowed a home run in any of the last 19.2 innings he’s appeared — Tanner Scott has the longest active streak at 54.2.
Thomas Hatch has a strikeout rate of just 12% (4 SO in 34 PAs) over the last 14 days (5 games) — tied for 12th lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — 11th Percentile.
Thomas Hatch has a strikeout rate of just 23% (6 SO in 26 PAs) with two-strikes over the last 30 days (7 games) — 6th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson had a strike rate of just 59% (875/1,491) against right-handed batters in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
David Peterson threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (193/368) of opposing batters in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
David Peterson threw his changeup for a strike just 47% (143/304) of the time in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 27% (4/15) against Drew Rom — 12th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — 11th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 9-17 (.346) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 43-146 (.228) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
The Pirates are just 21-118 (.151) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Pirates are just 124-172 (.419) since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 21-26 (.447) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Cardinals are 11-6 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 15-32 (.319) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,074 of 11,429 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,680 of 17,569 batters (10%) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 22% in close and late situations since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 342 of 4,012 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 30% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 73 of 1,193 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Liberatore (Cardinals): Back, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Guillermo Zuñiga (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
- Angel Perdomo (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Jarlín García (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Henry Davis (Pirates): Hand, D10
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Tucupita Marcano (Pirates): Knee, D60
- Joshua Palacios (Pirates): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
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