- The Cubs are -155 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates starting pitcher: Johan Oviedo
- Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+130) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-155) on Thursday, June 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Pirates vs Cubs Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Pirates are 34-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 36-31 ATS.
Pirates vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -165 | O 7 -115 | +130 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +135 | U 7 -105 | -155 |
Pirates vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 73.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Pirates vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 17 away games (+8.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 16 away games (+7.45 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 46 games (+22.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 48 games (+14.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+13.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+11.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+10.85 Units / 30% ROI)
Cubs vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
Cubs vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Cubs vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Cubs vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
| Johan Oviedo | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games (+13.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 29 away games (+6.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 63 games (+5.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.90 Units / 49% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+9.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+6.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 33 games at home (+3.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 33-33 against the Run Line (-6.65 Units / -7.65% ROI).
- 34-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 5.65% ROI
- 32-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -1.24% ROI
- 30-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -6.36% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 36-31 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units / 2.88% ROI).
- 30-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -9.92% ROI
- 33-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -4.65% ROI
- 33-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -3 Units / -4.09% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – home
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
keys to the game – away
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cubs are just 17-27 (.386) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
The Cubs are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 0-31 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Cubs are just 5-15 (.250) after a win as underdogs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .298 (2,617 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Pirates are batting just .150 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Pirates are batting just .152 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .681 (2,617 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .280 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.12 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.14 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .243 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 819 of 8,760 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 55 of 583 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,425 of 14,900 batters (10%) since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 22% in close and late situations since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 39 of 592 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Cubs pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.1 MPH (1,634 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Cubs vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Edwin RÃos (Cubs): Groin, D10
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
- Justin Steele (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Cody Bellinger (Cubs): Knee, D10
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D15
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
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