- The Dodgers are -275 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Pirates / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | SNPT | MLBN
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+220) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-275) on Saturday, April 26, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA, CA.
This season, the Pirates are 11-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 12-13 ATS.
Pirates vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 1-2, 4.18 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Roki Sasaki 0-1, 3.21 ERA
Pirates vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 +100 | O 8.5 -105 | +220 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -120 | U 8.5 -115 | -275 |
Pirates vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 67.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+18.15 Units / 227% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+14.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+9.00 Units / 64% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+13.10 Units / 131% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 41% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+8.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 away games (+3.10 Units / 19% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+3.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.10 Units / 9% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 11-16 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -21.75% ROI).
- 11-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -16.3% ROI
- 11-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.4 Units / -18.12% ROI
- 15-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.1 Units / 10.47% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 12-13 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -2% ROI).
- 16-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 0.53% ROI
- 13-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -2.98% ROI
- 13-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -3.14% ROI
Dodgers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Dodgers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Dodgers vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
Dodgers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Roki Sasaki (LAD) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Mitch Keller (PIT) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch Keller has allowed a just .189 SLG non-fastballs this season — tied for second best among qualified SPs– 98th Percentile. He allowed a SLG of .459 non-fastballs last season — third worst among qualified SPs– fifth Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed an OPS of .878 (319 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .669 — second Percentile.
Opponents batted .314 (77-for-245) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.
Mitch Keller allowed a slugging percentage of .563 (138 Total Bases / 245 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — first Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Roki Sasaki has walked 19% of batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Roki Sasaki has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 45% (73/162) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Roki Sasaki has walked 22% of left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Roki Sasaki has a strike rate of just 55% (109/199) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Pirates are just 11-35 (.239) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Pirates were just 10-32 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Pirates are just 7-50 (.123) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
The Pirates are just 8-40 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Dodgers are 181-33 (.846) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Dodgers are 15-4 (.789) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 17-3 (.850) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 115-60 (.657) at home since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .527.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .095 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .147.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .602 (247 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .678.
Pirates hitters have struck out in 26% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Pirates hitters have struck out in 34% of it’s PA’s in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .453 against LHP since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Dodgers hitters have 345 extra-base hits out of 863 total hits (40%) against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .776 (7,177 PA’s) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .455 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 25% against Pirates pitchers since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Batters facing the Pirates pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (21 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers walked 454 of 6,018 batters (7%) in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Batters facing the Dodgers pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Batters facing the Dodgers pitchers have struck out in the zone 34% of the time over the past seven days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. over the past seven days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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