Pirates vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 23

Los Angeles Dodgers right fielder Mookie Betts (50) in the sixth inning of a baseball game Wednesday, Sept. 27, 2023, in Denver. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
Sportsbook Promos
  • The Dodgers are -300 favorites vs the Pirates
  • Pirates vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Pirates / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | SNPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+240) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-300) on August 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Pirates are against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are ATS.

Pirates vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Pirates starting pitcher: Lake Bachar 1-2, 3.77 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Blake Snell 1-1, 3.60 ERA

Pirates vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates+1.5 +110O 8 -105+240
Dodgers -1.5 -135U 8 -115-300

Pirates vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 71.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Rafael Flores has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+11.00 Units / 138% ROI)
  • Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+10.75 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Rafael Flores has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+9.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.40 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.65 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernรกndez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+10.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+7.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+17.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+3.95 Units / 7% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Dodgers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Shohei Ohtani +165
Max Muncy +230
Mookie Betts +290
Teoscar Hernandez +340
Freddie Freeman +350

Dodgers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tommy Edman 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Max Muncy 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Nick Gonzales 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Kyle Tucker 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Dodgers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jared Triolo 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jake Mangum 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Max Muncy 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Oneil Cruz 1.5 -220 1.5 +165

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Pirates are just 5-34 (.128) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 26-37 (.413) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 12-77 (.135) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 32-45 (.416) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Dodgers (third in runs scored).

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Dodgers are 23-16 (.590) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB.

The Dodgers are 31-20 (.608) after a loss this season — best in MLB.

The Dodgers are 30-44 (.405) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Dodgers are 78-44 (.639) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of .765 (3,541 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .341 (3,541 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .281 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .348 (2,548 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .793 (2,615 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Dodgers are batting .271 on the road this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .350 (2,615 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .764 (4,970 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Pirates have won just 30% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 45% of their games this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .218 against Dodgers pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Dodgers pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Dodgers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 36% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.