- The Dodgers are -250 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates starting pitcher: Osvaldo Bido
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Robert Miller
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+200) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-250) on Wednesday, July 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Pirates vs Dodgers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Pirates are 40-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 43-42 ATS.
Pirates vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 +110 | O 9 -105 | +200 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -135 | U 9 -115 | -250 |
Pirates vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 85.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Palacios has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.35 Units / 52% ROI)
- Henry Davis has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+8.20 Units / 137% ROI)
- Ji-wan Bae has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+8.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Henry Davis has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.70 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+13.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+12.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.35 Units / 52% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+10.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 37% ROI)
Dodgers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Rodolfo Castro | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jared Triolo | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Dodgers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Rodolfo Castro | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Jared Triolo | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Dodgers vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -700 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Rodolfo Castro | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jared Triolo | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
Dodgers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Miller | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
| Osvaldo Bido | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 57 games (+15.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 43 games (+5.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+4.65 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+1.20 Units / 8% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 65 games (+14.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games (+10.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 59 games (+6.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games at home (+5.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+3.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 41-44 against the Run Line (-14.4 Units / -12.7% ROI).
- 40-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.58% ROI
- 42-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 0.37% ROI
- 38-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.8 Units / -8.35% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 43-42 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 2.38% ROI).
- 47-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.8 Units / -8.74% ROI
- 48-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.95 Units / 13.8% ROI
- 32-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -20 Units / -21.44% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Osvaldo Bido has thrown his slider 39% of the time (136/349) over the last 30 days (4 games) — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total SL; League Avg: 25% — 90th Percentile.
Osvaldo Bido has not induced opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 22 opportunities (0%) over the last 30 days (4 games) — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 18th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bobby Miller has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last six games dating back to May 29th — Kolby Allard has the longest active streak at 8.
Bobby Miller has an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — 100th Percentile.
29% of Bobby Miller’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 92nd Percentile.
Bobby Miller has thrown 111 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — 10th most among pitchers in MLB — 86th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Pirates are 10-5 (.667) after a loss as favorites since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .590.
The Pirates are just 29-51 (.362) after a road loss since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .454.
The Pirates are just 16-25 (.390) after a road win since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Pirates are just 8-14 (.364) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Dodgers are 58-30 (.659) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Dodgers are 25-12 (.676) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Dodgers are 31-15 (.674) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .454.
The Dodgers are 158-89 (.640) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .152 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Pirates hitters have 54 strikeouts in 156 PA’s (35%) against LHP over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Pirates are batting just .233 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .298 (2,824 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 121 double plays in 1,793 opportunities (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters have 82 extra-base hits out of 165 total hits (50%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .764 (2,923 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .692.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 14 double plays in 295 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 884 of 9,494 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,490 of 15,634 batters (10%) since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
The Dodgers have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.32 (1812.0 IP) on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Dodgers vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Knee, D10
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D15
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Ke’Bryan Hayes (Pirates): Back, D10
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Robert Zastryzny (Pirates): Forearm, D15
- Jose Hernandez (Pirates): Calf, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pirates): Ankle, D10
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