- The Giants (54-57) are -275 favorites vs the Pirates (45-67)
- Pirates starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson (2-6), 5.86 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (10-6), 2.94 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+220) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-275) on Friday, August 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Pirates vs Giants Over/Under is 3.4 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Pirates are 45-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 50-61 ATS.
Pirates vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Pirates | +1.5 +105 | O 3.4 +1 | +220 |
Giants | -1.5 -125 | U 3.4 +1 | -275 |
Pirates vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s matchup with 66.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Tucupita Marcano has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+9.80 Units / 100% ROI)
- Ben Gamel has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Josh VanMeter has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+8.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Tucupita Marcano has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+8.10 Units / 61% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+10.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+9.20 Units / 184% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+9.05 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.25 Units / 45% ROI)
Giants vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brandon Belt | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Joc Pederson | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
Joey Bart | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Giants vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brandon Belt | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Joc Pederson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Joey Bart | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +105 |
LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Giants vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brandon Belt | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Joc Pederson | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
Joey Bart | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Carlos Rodon | 7.5 -145 | 7.5 +105 |
Bryse Wilson | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 48 games (+11.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 56 away games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 53 away games (+6.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+4.35 Units / 44% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 48 games at home (+15.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games at home (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.45 Units / 19% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 58-54 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -2.57% ROI).
- 45-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -1.12% ROI
- 49-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.1 Units / -9.85% ROI
- 56-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 1.57% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 50-61 against the Run Line (-17.55 Units / -12.72% ROI).
- 54-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.3 Units / -13.1% ROI
- 54-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -0.83% ROI
- 50-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.3 Units / -8.32% ROI
Bryse Wilson: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting .359 (42-for-117) against Bryse Wilson this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .234 — 0 Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has allowed an OPS of 1.036 (132 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .687 — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .314 (85-for-271) against Bryse Wilson since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .237 — fourth Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has allowed a slugging percentage of .554 (150 Total Bases / 271 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .392 — third Percentile.
Carlos Rodón: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 39% (88 SO in 227 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 35% (39 SO in 111 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 33% (346 SO in 1,050 PAs) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 31% (161 SO in 516 PAs) this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 92nd Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Pirates are just 85-23 (.787) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Pirates are just 31-8 (.795) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Pirates are just 15-59 (.203) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Pirates are 14-3 (.824) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Giants are 21-114 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Giants are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are 28-7 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Giants are 43-2 (.956) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .144 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .307 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
The Pirates have answered-back in just 23% of innings after an opponent scores since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .649 (2,672 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .212 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .290 (479 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
The Giants are batting .371 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 218 of 2,377 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 66% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 719 of 10,167 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 62 of 985 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Giants vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Bart (Giants): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Dillon Peters (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Tyler Heineman (Pirates): Groin, D10
- Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
- Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
- Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- David Bednar (Pirates): Back, D15
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