- The Giants (56-57) are -275 favorites vs the Pirates (45-69)
- Pirates starting pitcher: Zachary Thompson (3-9), 5.08 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Robert Wood (8-9), 4.16 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+220) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-275) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Pirates vs Giants Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Pirates are 45-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 52-61 ATS.
Pirates vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 +105 | O 8 -105 | +220 |
| Giants | -1.5 -130 | U 8 -115 | -275 |
Pirates vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s matchup with 64.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh VanMeter has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+8.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+7.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Kevin Newman has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Tucupita Marcano has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 away games (+7.55 Units / 63% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+8.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.25 Units / 45% ROI)
Giants vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Giants vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Giants vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Giants vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Wood | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
| Zach Thompson | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 58 away games (+8.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+8.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 55 away games (+4.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 20% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+15.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games at home (+5.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.45 Units / 27% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 58-56 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -3.93% ROI).
- 45-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -2.79% ROI
- 50-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -9.8% ROI
- 57-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 1.43% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 52-61 against the Run Line (-15.55 Units / -11.07% ROI).
- 56-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.3 Units / -11.49% ROI
- 55-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -0.93% ROI
- 51-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.45 Units / -8.29% ROI
Zachary Thompson: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Thompson has struck out just 14% (29/210) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Zach Thompson has a strikeout rate of just 32% (62 SO in 194 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 42% — eighth Percentile.
Zach Thompson has a strikeout rate of just 6% (3 SO in 51 PAs) in PAs ending on fastballs away this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (20/136) against Zach Thompson with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Robert Wood: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Wood has a strikeout rate of 31% (25 SO in 81 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Wood has a strikeout rate of 41% (33 SO in 80 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (132/359) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (255/757) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Pirates are just 85-23 (.787) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Pirates are just 15-61 (.197) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Pirates are just 2-56 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Pirates are just 5-23 (.179) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Giants are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are 21-114 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Giants are just 6-9 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are 45-3 (.938) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates have answered-back in just 23% of innings after an opponent scores since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .362 against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .222 (5,331 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Pirates are batting just .145 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .212 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .293 (485 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Giants hitters have an OPS of .781 (3,580 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Giants have a winning percentage of 59% since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,002 of 10,498 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 396 of 4,358 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Giants pitchers have walked 723 of 10,239 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Giants vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Ke’Bryan Hayes (Pirates): Back, Day-to-Day
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Yerry De Los Santos (Pirates): Undisclosed, D60
- Dillon Peters (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Tyler Heineman (Pirates): Groin, D10
- Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
- Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
- Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- David Bednar (Pirates): Back, D15
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