Pirates vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 14

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 14, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Giants (56-57) are -275 favorites vs the Pirates (45-69)
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Zachary Thompson (3-9), 5.08 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Robert Wood (8-9), 4.16 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+220) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-275) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).

The Pirates vs Giants Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Pirates are 45-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 52-61 ATS.

Pirates vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates+1.5 +105O 8 -105+220
Giants -1.5 -130U 8 -115-275

Pirates vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s matchup with 64.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Giants vs Pirates and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh VanMeter has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+8.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+7.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Kevin Newman has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Tucupita Marcano has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 away games (+7.55 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+8.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.25 Units / 45% ROI)

Giants vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Joc Pederson 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Joey Bart 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
LaMonte Wade Jr 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Giants vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Brandon Crawford 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Joc Pederson 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Joey Bart 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
LaMonte Wade Jr 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

Giants vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Joc Pederson 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Joey Bart 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
LaMonte Wade Jr 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Giants vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Wood 5.5 -160 5.5 +125
Zach Thompson 3.5 -130 3.5 -110
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 58 away games (+8.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+8.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 55 away games (+4.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+15.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games at home (+5.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.45 Units / 27% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 58-56 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -3.93% ROI).

  • 45-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -2.79% ROI
  • 50-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -9.8% ROI
  • 57-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 1.43% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 52-61 against the Run Line (-15.55 Units / -11.07% ROI).

  • 56-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.3 Units / -11.49% ROI
  • 55-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -0.93% ROI
  • 51-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.45 Units / -8.29% ROI

Zach Thompson has struck out just 14% (29/210) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.

Zach Thompson has a strikeout rate of just 32% (62 SO in 194 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 42% — eighth Percentile.

Zach Thompson has a strikeout rate of just 6% (3 SO in 51 PAs) in PAs ending on fastballs away this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (20/136) against Zach Thompson with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.

Robert Wood: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Alex Wood has a strikeout rate of 31% (25 SO in 81 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Alex Wood has a strikeout rate of 41% (33 SO in 80 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (132/359) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (255/757) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Pirates are just 85-23 (.787) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Pirates are just 15-61 (.197) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Pirates are just 2-56 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Pirates are just 5-23 (.179) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Giants are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 21-114 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Giants are just 6-9 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 45-3 (.938) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Pirates have answered-back in just 23% of innings after an opponent scores since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .362 against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .222 (5,331 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Pirates are batting just .145 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

The Giants are batting just .212 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .293 (485 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Giants hitters have an OPS of .781 (3,580 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Giants have a winning percentage of 59% since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 1,002 of 10,498 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 396 of 4,358 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.

Giants pitchers have walked 723 of 10,239 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Giants vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes (Pirates): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Yerry De Los Santos (Pirates): Undisclosed, D60
  • Dillon Peters (Pirates): Elbow, D15
  • Tyler Heineman (Pirates): Groin, D10
  • Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
  • Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • David Bednar (Pirates): Back, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.