- The Giants are -140 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates starting pitcher: Richard Hill
- Giants starting pitcher: Anthony DeSclafani
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+115) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-140) on Monday, May 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 5:05pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Pirates vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Pirates are 26-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 27-26 ATS.
Pirates vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -115 | +115 |
| Giants | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -105 | -140 |
Pirates vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 64.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Connor Joe has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+10.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.25 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- J.D. Davis has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.45 Units / 58% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+9.55 Units / 65% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.15 Units / 42% ROI)
Giants vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Giants vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Giants vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 24 games (+14.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 24 away games (+5.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 away games (+5.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 away games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games (+10.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+9.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+8.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 43 games (+7.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.10 Units / 47% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 27-25 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -3.84% ROI).
- 26-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units / 6.24% ROI
- 24-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -5.75% ROI
- 25-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -1.58% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 27-26 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -1.48% ROI).
- 27-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -5.3% ROI
- 24-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.65 Units / -9.65% ROI
- 27-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.64% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
12 of Rich Hill’s 32 breaking pitch strikeouts (38%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.
12 of Rich Hill’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (51/157) against Rich Hill this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
31 of Rich Hill’s 98 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 99th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anthony DeSclafani has a strikeout rate of just 22% (15 SO in 69 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — seventh Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has walked 4 of 123 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 94th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has walked 9 of 245 batters (4%) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 73% (22/30) against Anthony DeSclafani on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Pirates are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .136.
The Pirates are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .675.
The Pirates are just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Giants are 23-20 (.535) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Giants are just 16-8 (.667) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Giants are 90-2 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Giants were 25-4 (.862) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .674 (2,379 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .294 (2,379 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .171 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .377 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Giants are batting just .232 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have 349 strikeouts in 1,375 PA’s (25%) against RHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Giants are batting just .133 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 52% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (11 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 755 of 8,148 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 2.58 (97.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have a strikeout rate of 52% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Hand, D10
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Casey Schmitt (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Joseph Bart (Giants): Groin, D10
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Carlos Santana (Pirates): Lumbar Spine, Day-to-Day
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
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