- The Giants are -150 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates starting pitcher: Johan Oviedo
- Giants starting pitcher: John Brebbia
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+125) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-150) on Tuesday, May 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Pirates vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Pirates are 26-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 28-26 ATS.
Pirates vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -110 | +125 |
| Giants | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -110 | -150 |
Pirates vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 66.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Connor Joe has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.25 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+10.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.25 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+10.80 Units / 68% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.15 Units / 42% ROI)
Giants vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Villar | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Casey Schmitt | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Mitch Haniger | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Blake Sabol | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Giants vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Villar | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Casey Schmitt | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Mitch Haniger | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Blake Sabol | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Giants vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Villar | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Casey Schmitt | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Mitch Haniger | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Blake Sabol | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Giants vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Johan Oviedo | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 25 away games (+4.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 away games (+4.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+11.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+9.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games (+9.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.10 Units / 49% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 27-26 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -6.12% ROI).
- 26-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 4.45% ROI
- 25-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -3.94% ROI
- 25-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -3.52% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 28-26 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 0.62% ROI).
- 28-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -3.68% ROI
- 25-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.65 Units / -7.8% ROI
- 27-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.34% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Johan Oviedo has a strike rate of 67% when ahead in the count (tied for sixth highest)– 93rd Percentile and 59% when behind in the count this season (second lowest among qualified SPs)– third Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has a strike rate of just 59% (133/224) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 69% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (33/58) against Johan Oviedo in two-strike counts this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (11/88) against Johan Oviedo with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
John Brebbia has a strikeout rate of 71% (12 SO in 17 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (15/51) against John Brebbia this season — tied for 6th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.
John Brebbia has a first-pitch strike rate of 69% (259/377) since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 98th Percentile.
John Brebbia has not allowed a HR in any of his last 14 starts dating back to June 3rd, 2022 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Pirates are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Pirates are just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .592.
The Pirates are just 35-52 (.402) after a win since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Giants are 23-20 (.535) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Giants are 7-3 (.700) after a home loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Giants are 91-2 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Giants are 16-11 (.593) at home this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .527.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .227 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Pirates are batting just .223 on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Pirates are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.
The Pirates are batting just .150 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 648 strikeouts in 2,570 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting .376 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Giants hitters have 169 strikeouts in 638 PA’s (27%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 764 of 8,236 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 59 times since last season — fewest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Pirates pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 3.71 (242.1 IP) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 120 of 1,919 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Hand, D10
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Joseph Bart (Giants): Groin, D10
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Carlos Santana (Pirates): Lumbar Spine, Day-to-Day
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
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