- The Pirates are -105 favorites vs the Giants
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller
- Giants starting pitcher: Robert Wood
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-115) on Wednesday, May 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Pirates are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Pirates vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Pirates are 27-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 28-27 ATS.
Pirates vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -105 | -105 |
| Giants | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -115 | -115 |
Pirates vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 59.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Connor Joe has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.25 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 51% ROI)
Giants vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Giants vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Giants vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Giants vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +105 |
| Alex Wood | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 26 games (+13.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 away games (+5.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 26 away games (+5.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 26 away games (+3.05 Units / 9% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 36 games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+8.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 36% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 28-26 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -4.59% ROI).
- 27-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.05 Units / 6.69% ROI
- 25-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -5.64% ROI
- 26-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -1.77% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 28-27 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -0.75% ROI).
- 28-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -5.95% ROI
- 25-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.7 Units / -9.4% ROI
- 28-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 1.32% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch Keller has a strikeout rate of 51% (85 SO in 166 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .152 (5-for-33) against Mitch Keller on low fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .252 — 90th Percentile.
Mitch Keller has a strike rate of 70% (316/453) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed three-ball counts to 12% of batters they faced (15/131 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (189/527) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (11/75) against Alex Wood this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (312/925) when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Wood walked 5 of 24 batters (21%) — 3rd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Pirates are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Pirates are just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .592.
The Pirates are just 4-104 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Giants are 23-20 (.535) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Giants are just 17-8 (.680) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Giants are 7-3 (.700) after a home loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Giants are 91-2 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .150 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .292 (2,435 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Pirates are batting just .149 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Pirates are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Giants hitters have 648 strikeouts in 2,574 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitter’ K:BB ratio is 4.2 against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 2.6.
The Giants are batting just .235 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 771 of 8,273 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 3.62 (251.1 IP) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Pirates pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Hand, D10
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Heel, Day-to-Day
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Joseph Bart (Giants): Groin, D10
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Carlos Santana (Pirates): Lumbar Spine, Day-to-Day
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
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