- The Pirates are -105 favorites vs the Giants
- Pirates vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Pirates / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | KNTV | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-115) on May 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15 pm in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Pirates are 21-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 15-21 ATS.
Pirates vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Carmen Mlodzinski 2-2, 4.77 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Landen Roupp 5-2, 3.18 ERA
Pirates vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 +165 | O 7.5 -105 | -105 |
| Giants | +1.5 -200 | U 7.5 -115 | -115 |
Pirates vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 69% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- Konnor Griffin has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.90 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+22.50 Units / 450% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Walks Under in 23 of his last 25 games (+18.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.05 Units / 112% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+12.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+7.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 away games (+6.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 away games (+5.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+4.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+1.80 Units / 6% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 20-17 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 4.83% ROI).
- 21-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 1.04% ROI
- 20-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 2.37% ROI
- 17-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -11.94% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 15-21 against the Run Line (-13.6 Units / -25.71% ROI).
- 14-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -22.39% ROI
- 15-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -14.16% ROI
- 19-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 6% ROI
Giants vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz | +525 |
| Marcell Ozuna | +550 |
| Rafael Devers | +600 |
| Willy Adames | +650 |
| Heliot Ramos | +725 |
Giants vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jung Hoo Lee | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Heliot Ramos | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nick Gonzales | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jake Mangum | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Giants vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jared Triolo | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jake Mangum | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Pirates are just 1-8 (.111) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Pirates are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Pirates are just 2-14 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .215.
The Pirates are 19-3 (.864) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Giants are just 1-11 (.083) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Giants are just 7-15 (.318) after a loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Giants are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .107.
The Giants are just 10-4 (.714) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .205 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.
The Pirates are batting .283 at home this season — best in MLB.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .619 (438 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Pirates hitters have 22 extra-base hits out of 91 total hits (just 24%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .276 (919 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .282 (1,330 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.
Giants hitters have drawn walks in 5% of their PA’s this season — lowest in MLB.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .631 (919 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have allowed 29 home runs this season — 2nd fewest in MLB.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.
Giants pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 57% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB.
Giants pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 32 double plays in 257 opportunities (12%) this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .208 against Giants pitchers this season — best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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