Pirates vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 8

San Francisco Giants starting pitcher Logan Webb throws during the first inning of the team's baseball game against the San Francisco Giants, Tuesday, April 2, 2024, in Los Angeles.
(AP Photo/Ryan Sun)
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  • The Pirates are -105 favorites vs the Giants
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The Pittsburgh Pirates (-105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-115) on May 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15 pm in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Pirates are 21-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 15-21 ATS.

Pirates vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Pirates starting pitcher: Carmen Mlodzinski 2-2, 4.77 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Landen Roupp 5-2, 3.18 ERA

Pirates vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates-1.5 +165O 7.5 -105-105
Giants +1.5 -200U 7.5 -115-115

Pirates vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.85 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Konnor Griffin has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.90 Units / 60% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Casey Schmitt has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+22.50 Units / 450% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Walks Under in 23 of his last 25 games (+18.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.05 Units / 112% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+12.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+7.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 away games (+6.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 away games (+5.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+4.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+1.80 Units / 6% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 20-17 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 4.83% ROI).

  • 21-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 1.04% ROI
  • 20-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 2.37% ROI
  • 17-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -11.94% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 15-21 against the Run Line (-13.6 Units / -25.71% ROI).

  • 14-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -22.39% ROI
  • 15-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -14.16% ROI
  • 19-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 6% ROI

Giants vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Oneil Cruz +525
Marcell Ozuna +550
Rafael Devers +600
Willy Adames +650
Heliot Ramos +725

Giants vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jung Hoo Lee 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Heliot Ramos 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Nick Gonzales 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jake Mangum 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 -160 0.5 +120

Giants vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Gonzales 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Matt Chapman 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Ryan O'Hearn 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jared Triolo 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jake Mangum 0.5 -155 0.5 +115

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Pirates are just 1-8 (.111) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Pirates are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Pirates are just 2-14 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .215.

The Pirates are 19-3 (.864) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Giants are just 1-11 (.083) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Giants are just 7-15 (.318) after a loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Giants are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .107.

The Giants are just 10-4 (.714) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.

The Pirates are batting just .205 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .283 at home this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .619 (438 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have 22 extra-base hits out of 91 total hits (just 24%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .276 (919 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .282 (1,330 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters have drawn walks in 5% of their PA’s this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters have an OPS of just .631 (919 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have allowed 29 home runs this season — 2nd fewest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 57% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 32 double plays in 257 opportunities (12%) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .208 against Giants pitchers this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.