Pirates vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 9

Colorado Rockies left fielder Nolan Jones (22) in sixth inning of a baseball game Wednesday, Sept. 25, 2024, in Denver.
(AP Photo/Matt York)
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  • The Pirates are -120 favorites vs the Giants
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The Pittsburgh Pirates (-120) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+100) on May 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:05 pm in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Pirates are 21-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 16-21 ATS.

Pirates vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Pirates starting pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft 1-2, 3.00 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Landen Roupp 5-2, 3.18 ERA

Pirates vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates-1.5 +145O 7.5 -110-120
Giants +1.5 -180U 7.5 -110+100

Pirates vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+13.75 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+11.30 Units / 188% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Konnor Griffin has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Konnor Griffin has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.70 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Casey Schmitt has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+21.50 Units / 358% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Walks Under in 23 of his last 25 games (+18.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+11.25 Units / 112% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+12.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 away games (+5.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+5.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 20-18 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 2.72% ROI).

  • 21-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -1.22% ROI
  • 20-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -0.46% ROI
  • 18-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -9.31% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 16-21 against the Run Line (-12.6 Units / -23.01% ROI).

  • 15-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -19.37% ROI
  • 15-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -16.63% ROI
  • 20-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.45 Units / 8.25% ROI

Giants vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Brandon Lowe +500
Oneil Cruz +550
Rafael Devers +625
Willy Adames +675
Matt Chapman +700

Giants vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jung Hoo Lee 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Nick Gonzales 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
Ryan O'Hearn 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Brandon Lowe 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Oneil Cruz 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Giants vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Henry Davis 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Nick Gonzales 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Ryan O'Hearn 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Drew Gilbert 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Landen Roupp 5.5 -155 5.5 +115

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Pirates are 12-5 (.706) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .469.

The Pirates are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Pirates are 19-3 (.864) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Pirates are just 1-9 (.100) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Giants are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.

The Giants are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Giants are just 15-23 (.395) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are just 1-11 (.083) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Pirates hitters have 23 extra-base hits out of 95 total hits (just 24%) against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are batting just .204 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .613 (451 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .284 (1,365 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

32% of Giants hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .279 (950 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters have drawn walks in 5% of their PA’s against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have allowed 30 home runs this season — 2nd fewest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% in late innings this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .222 against Pirates pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Giants pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 34 double plays in 264 opportunities (13%) this season — tied for best in MLB.

Giants pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 57% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Giants pitchers this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.