- The Marlins are -175 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates starting pitcher: Osvaldo Bido
- Marlins starting pitcher: Bryan Hoeing
- Watch the game on BSFL
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+145) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-175) on Saturday, June 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Miami.
The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Pirates vs Marlins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Pirates are against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are ATS.
Pirates vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -140 | O 8 -110 | +145 |
| Marlins | -1.5 +115 | U 8 -110 | -175 |
Pirates vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 68.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Pirates vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+14.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- Rodolfo Castro has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Josh Palacios has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.20 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+15.20 Units / 77% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+12.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games at home (+11.80 Units / 51% ROI)
Marlins vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
Marlins vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Marlins vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Marlins vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Osvaldo Bido | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
| Bryan Hoeing | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -160 |
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 46 games (+19.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 34 away games (+4.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+1.75 Units / 18% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 65 games (+14.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 43 games (+11.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+7.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.40 Units / 15% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Osvaldo Bido has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.0 innings pitched — Tristan Beck has the longest active streak at 18.2.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 39% (10/26) against Osvaldo Bido over the last 30 days (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Osvaldo Bido has allowed a slugging percentage of just .217 (5 Total Bases / 23 ABs) over the past seven days (1 games) — 5th best in NL over the last week; League Avg: .377 — 91st Percentile.
Osvaldo Bido has thrown his slider 38% of the time (36/96) over the past seven days (1 games) — 3rd highest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 26% — 94th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Hoeing has walked 4 of 80 right-handed batters (5%) this season — 15th best among among 107 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 86th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .284 (21-for-74) against Bryan Hoeing this season — 13th highest among among 101 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .233 — 12th Percentile.
Bryan Hoeing has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (87/124) this season — tied for 4th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 62% — 96th Percentile.
Bryan Hoeing has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (87/124) this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 61% — 98th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Pirates are just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 92-123 (.428) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Pirates are just 5-115 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Pirates are just 10-108 (.085) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .127.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Marlins are 5-29 (.147) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Marlins are just 11-53 (.172) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Marlins are just 2-15 (.118) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Marlins are 11-107 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .150 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
The Pirates are batting just .149 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Pirates are batting just .102 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
The Pirates are batting just .223 on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have 43 extra-base hits out of 169 total hits (just 25%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Marlins are batting .294 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .655 (3,641 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,461 of 15,239 batters (10%) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 855 of 9,099 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 303 of 3,476 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have walked 8 of 241 batters (3%) over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have walked 23 of 460 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D15
- Jean Segura (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Shoulder, D15
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Robert Zastryzny (Pirates): Forearm, D15
- Colin Holderman (Pirates): Wrist, D15
- Jose Hernandez (Pirates): Calf, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Bryan Reynolds (Pirates): Back, D10
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Pirates vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
