Pirates vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 06, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Orioles (55-51) are -165 favorites vs the Pirates (43-63)
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Jonathan Brubaker (2-9), 4.39 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Austin Voth (1-1), 5.54 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+135) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-165) on Saturday, August 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 5:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Pirates vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Pirates are 43-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 69-37 ATS.

Pirates vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates+1.5 -145O 8.5 -110+135
Orioles -1.5 +120U 8.5 -110-165

Pirates vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s matchup with 77.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Pirates and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 18 games (+15.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+9.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Michael Chavis has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Rodolfo Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jake Marisnick has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.10 Units / 59% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 27 games (+17.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 43 games at home (+16.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 27 games at home (+11.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.05 Units / 33% ROI)

Orioles vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Anthony Santander 0.5 +325 0.5 -600
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Ramon Urias 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Orioles vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Anthony Santander 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Cedric Mullins 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Jorge Mateo 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Ramon Urias 0.5 -275 0.5 +180

Orioles vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Anthony Santander 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Ramon Urias 0.5 +165 0.5 -250

Orioles vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Voth 3.5 -150 3.5 +105
JT Brubaker 4.5 -120 4.5 -115
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 42 games (+14.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+12.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 32 games (+4.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 47 away games (+4.20 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 86 games (+26.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 86 games (+26.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 83 games (+10.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 68 games (+8.25 Units / 11% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 56-50 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.3% ROI).

  • 43-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.18% ROI
  • 45-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.95 Units / -12.85% ROI
  • 55-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.55 Units / 4.73% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 69-37 against the Run Line (+24.85 Units / 17.78% ROI).

  • 55-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +22.4 Units / 20.2% ROI
  • 49-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -6.7% ROI
  • 53-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -0.63% ROI

Hitters have swung at 53% of JT Brubaker’s pitches (545/1,036) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

JT Brubaker has located his fastball up for a strike just 50% (438/870) of the time since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 60% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (295/870) against JT Brubaker on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 49% — third Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 52% of JT Brubaker’s pitches (261/499) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Austin Voth: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .224 (57-for-255) against Austin Voth with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .157 — first Percentile.

Austin Voth has allowed an OPS of .981 (139 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .629 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .352 (44-for-125) against Austin Voth versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 0 Percentile.

Austin Voth has allowed a slugging percentage of .357 (91 Total Bases / 255 ABs) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .246 — second Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Pirates are just 15-55 (.214) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Pirates are just 84-22 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.

The Pirates are just 5-23 (.179) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.

The Pirates are just 8-9 (.471) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Orioles are 6-43 (.122) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Orioles are 42-2 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Orioles are 10-44 (.185) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Orioles are just 13-24 (.351) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .658 (3,057 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .454 (5,200 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .282 (1,312 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Pirates are batting just .145 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Orioles hitters have 329 strikeouts in 1,288 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 43% at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Orioles hitters have drawn 248 walks in 3,359 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 215 of 2,336 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 274 of 2,852 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 3 of 109 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.91 (1058.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Orioles have allowed 0.94 runs per game (99/105) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.27.

Orioles vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Hays (Orioles): Side, Day-to-Day
  • Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15
  • Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Dillon Peters (Pirates): Elbow, D15
  • Tyler Heineman (Pirates): Groin, D10
  • Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
  • Jacob Marisnick (Pirates): Toe, D10
  • Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • David Bednar (Pirates): Back, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.