- The Phillies (70-55) are -275 favorites vs the Pirates (47-77)
- Pirates starting pitcher: , ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: , ERA
- Watch the game on NBC 10
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+225) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-275) on Friday, August 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).
The Pirates vs Phillies Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Pirates are 46-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 64-59 ATS.
Pirates vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +2.5 -135 | O 9 -115 | +225 |
| Phillies | -2.5 +110 | U 9 -105 | -275 |
Pirates vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s matchup with 67.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Pirates and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Phillies vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bradley Zimmer | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jean Segura | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Phillies vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 1.5 +135 | 1.5 -200 |
| Bradley Zimmer | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 -300 | 0.5 +195 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
| Jean Segura | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
Phillies vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Bradley Zimmer | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jean Segura | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
Phillies vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Falter | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +100 |
| Bryse Wilson | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 61-59 against the Run Line (-5.95 Units / -3.94% ROI).
- 46-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -5.87% ROI
- 53-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.65 Units / -8.84% ROI
- 59-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 0.41% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 64-59 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 2.65% ROI).
- 69-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units / 3.87% ROI
- 60-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -1.66% ROI
- 57-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.75 Units / -6.45% ROI
: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryse Wilson has allowed a slugging percentage of .612 (85 Total Bases / 139 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .382 — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .338 (47-for-139) against Bryse Wilson this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .234 — 0 Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 13% (18/143) against Bryse Wilson when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has allowed an OPS of 1.006 (159 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .684 — 0 Percentile.
: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 12% (2/16) against Bailey Falter — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents batted just .105 (2-for-19) against Bailey Falter — tied for 10th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .220 — 91st Percentile.
Bailey Falter allowed an OPS of just .366 (23 PA’s) — 7th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .620 — 94th Percentile.
The hardest ball hit off of Bailey Falter was just 100.3 MPH — hardest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 108.8
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Pirates are just 86-23 (.789) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Pirates are just 15-67 (.183) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Pirates are just 20-41 (.328) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Pirates are just 32-8 (.800) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .887.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Phillies are 13-41 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .113.
The Phillies are 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .084.
The Phillies are just 4-12 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 21-3 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .144 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .449 (5,517 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Pirates have answered-back in just 20% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .644 (2,939 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .317 against LHP this month (17 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Phillies are batting .264 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .377 (229 PA’s) against LHP this month (17 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .337 (1,370 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 433 of 4,760 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,039 of 10,900 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 67% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (3,024 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH this season (3,024 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH since the start of last season (6,950 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Phillies vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Pirates and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.