Pirates vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 26

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 26, 2022, 9:01 AM
  • The Phillies (70-55) are -275 favorites vs the Pirates (47-77)
  • Pirates starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Watch the game on NBC 10

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+225) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-275) on Friday, August 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).

The Pirates vs Phillies Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Pirates are 46-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 64-59 ATS.

Pirates vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates+2.5 -135O 9 -115+225
Phillies -2.5 +110U 9 -105-275

Pirates vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s matchup with 67.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Pirates and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rodolfo Castro has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 26 games (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Bligh Madris has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.10 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+8.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Josh VanMeter has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+8.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nick Castellanos has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 49 games at home (+17.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 49 games (+16.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+13.35 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 37 games (+13.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Phillies vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alec Bohm 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
    Bradley Zimmer 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
    Bryson Stott 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
    J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +260 0.5 -450
    Jean Segura 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

    Phillies vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alec Bohm 1.5 +135 1.5 -200
    Bradley Zimmer 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
    Bryson Stott 0.5 -300 0.5 +195
    J.T. Realmuto 1.5 +160 1.5 -225
    Jean Segura 0.5 -275 0.5 +190

    Phillies vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alec Bohm 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
    Bradley Zimmer 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
    Bryson Stott 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
    J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +110 0.5 -160
    Jean Segura 0.5 +150 0.5 -225

    Phillies vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Bailey Falter 4.5 -145 4.5 +100
    Bryse Wilson 3.5 +105 3.5 -150
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.40 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 59 away games (+7.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 31 away games (+3.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 56 away games (+3.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 68 of their last 120 games (+13.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+4.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 61-59 against the Run Line (-5.95 Units / -3.94% ROI).

    • 46-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -5.87% ROI
    • 53-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.65 Units / -8.84% ROI
    • 59-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 0.41% ROI

    Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 64-59 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 2.65% ROI).

    • 69-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units / 3.87% ROI
    • 60-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -1.66% ROI
    • 57-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.75 Units / -6.45% ROI

    Bryse Wilson has allowed a slugging percentage of .612 (85 Total Bases / 139 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .382 — 0 Percentile.

    Left-handed batters are hitting .338 (47-for-139) against Bryse Wilson this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .234 — 0 Percentile.

    Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 13% (18/143) against Bryse Wilson when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

    Bryse Wilson has allowed an OPS of 1.006 (159 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .684 — 0 Percentile.

    : Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents had a groundball rate of just 12% (2/16) against Bailey Falter — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.

    Opponents batted just .105 (2-for-19) against Bailey Falter — tied for 10th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .220 — 91st Percentile.

    Bailey Falter allowed an OPS of just .366 (23 PA’s) — 7th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .620 — 94th Percentile.

    The hardest ball hit off of Bailey Falter was just 100.3 MPH — hardest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 108.8

    Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

    The Pirates are just 86-23 (.789) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.

    The Pirates are just 15-67 (.183) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

    The Pirates are just 20-41 (.328) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.

    The Pirates are just 32-8 (.800) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .887.

    Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

    The Phillies are 13-41 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .113.

    The Phillies are 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .084.

    The Phillies are just 4-12 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Phillies are 21-3 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

    The Pirates are batting just .144 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

    Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .449 (5,517 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.

    The Pirates have answered-back in just 20% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

    Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .644 (2,939 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.

    The Phillies are batting .317 against LHP this month (17 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

    The Phillies are batting .264 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

    Phillies hitters have an OBP of .377 (229 PA’s) against LHP this month (17 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.

    Phillies hitters have an OBP of .337 (1,370 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

    Pirates pitchers have walked 433 of 4,760 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Pirates pitchers have walked 1,039 of 10,900 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    The Pirates pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 67% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (3,024 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.

    The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH this season (3,024 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH since the start of last season (6,950 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

    Phillies vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
  • Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D60
  • James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Brandon Marsh (Phillies): Ankle, D10
  • Seranthony Domínguez (Phillies): Triceps, D15
  • Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D60
  • Zachary Wheeler (Phillies): Forearm, D15
  • Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Corey Knebel (Phillies): Lat, D60
  • Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Yerry De Los Santos (Pirates): Lat, D60
  • Dillon Peters (Pirates): Elbow, D15
  • Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
  • Colin Holderman (Pirates): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • David Bednar (Pirates): Back, D15

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.