• The Pirates are -110 favorites vs the Phillies
• Pirates vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Pirates / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | SNPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-110) on June 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Pirates are 42-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 31-52 ATS.

Pirates vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft 7-3, 3.05 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 3-4, 5.61 ERA

Pirates vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Pirates vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+9.25 Units / 33% ROI)
• Endy Rodriguez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+9.00 Units / 129% ROI)
• Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Walks Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 51% ROI)
• Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.10 Units / 18% ROI)
• Endy Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+7.95 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+20.00 Units / 222% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.85 Units / 44% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.90 Units / 24% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+12.25 Units / 48% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.45 Units / 49% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.55 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.50 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 away games (+3.20 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 away games (+3.20 Units / 5% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.85 Units / 70% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.70 Units / 47% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 41-41 against the Run Line (-0.3 Units / -0.29% ROI).

• 42-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -8.18% ROI
• 48-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.85 Units / 12.81% ROI
• 33-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.55 Units / -21.17% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 31-52 against the Run Line (-25.25 Units / -25.79% ROI).

• 47-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 0.57% ROI
• 36-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -13.22% ROI
• 44-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.8 Units / 5.21% ROI

Phillies vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Pirates are just 2-20 (.091) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Pirates are just 17-24 (.415) after a win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Pirates are 34-8 (.810) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

The Pirates are just 2-115 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Phillies are 5-34 (.128) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .057.

The Phillies are 11-33 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Phillies are 9-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .788.

The Phillies are 33-1 (.971) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .858.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters have an OPS of .806 (1,756 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Pirates are hitting .327 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 501 of their 1,439 plate appearances (35%) versus relief pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .644 (1,574 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .219 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .281 (1,574 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .221 (1,700 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have allowed 80 home runs this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .277 against Pirates pitchers with runners on base this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .285 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.5 MPH (2,069 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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