Pirates vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 1

Cincinnati Reds' Elly De La Cruz watches his hit during the first inning of a spring training baseball game against the Cleveland Guardians, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, in Goodyear, Ariz.
(AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)
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  • The Pirates are -160 favorites vs the Reds
  • Pirates vs Reds Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Pirates / Reds TV Channel: RDTV | SNPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (-160) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+135) on April 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:40 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Pirates are against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are ATS.

Pirates vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 0-1, 67.57 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Pirates vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 60.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.35 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+12.80 Units / 128% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.60 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Paul Skenes has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+12.40 Units / 155% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Will Benson has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Andrew Abbott has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 88 of their last 150 games (+27.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 92 of their last 151 games (+26.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 124 games (+24.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 64 away games (+15.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 104 games (+11.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 141 games (+30.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 76 games (+6.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 60 games at home (+6.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Pirates were just 27-54 (.333) on the road in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .457.

The Pirates were just 13-24 (.351) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2025 season Today, they face the Reds (25th in runs scored).

The Pirates were just 6-50 (.107) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Pirates were just 4-75 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Reds were just 7-50 (.123) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Reds are just 12-27 (.308) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 8-126 (.060) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Reds are just 11-122 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .133.

The Pirates won only 33% of their road games in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters had an OPS of just .622 (3,034 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .354 against RHP since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .350 since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 39% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .314 (37 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters are slugging just .348 against LHP since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .226 against LHP since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 24% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 49% in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers won only 14% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of 39% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of 55% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Reds pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 84 double plays in 1,060 opportunities (8%) in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.