- The Pirates are -120 favorites vs the Reds
- Pirates vs Reds Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Pirates / Reds TV Channel: RDTV | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-120) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+100) on August 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Pirates are 55-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 59-48 ATS.
Pirates vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft 10-4, 4.02 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 5-6, 3.86 ERA
Pirates vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -115 | -120 |
| Reds | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -105 | +100 |
Pirates vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+6.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jared Triolo has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jared Triolo has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jhostynxon Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Abbott has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- Andrew Abbott has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Andrew Abbott has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- Andrew Abbott has hit the Earned Runs Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Andrew Abbott has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+2.05 Units / 7% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Reds Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 54-53 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -0.44% ROI).
- 55-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -6.59% ROI
- 62-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.6 Units / 10.4% ROI
- 45-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.9 Units / -18.95% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 59-48 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -1.51% ROI).
- 51-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -4.69% ROI
- 57-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 1.63% ROI
- 50-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.1 Units / -10.23% ROI
Reds vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | +280 |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | +280 |
| Eugenio Suarez | +325 |
| Sal Stewart | +340 |
| Marcell Ozuna | +340 |
Reds vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sal Stewart | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Reds vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sal Stewart | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Dane Myers | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jhostynxon Garcia | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Pirates are just 24-31 (.436) after a win this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.
The Pirates are just 1-46 (.021) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Pirates are just 5-29 (.147) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
The Pirates are just 5-29 (.147) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Reds are just 6-30 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Reds are just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Reds are 5-50 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Reds are just 25-30 (.455) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have an OPS of .779 (3,091 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Pirates are batting .303 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of .346 (3,091 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Pirates hitters are slugging .433 against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .116 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .221 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .212 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
The Pirates pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Pirates have allowed 1.71 runs per game (190/111) in late innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Batters facing the Pirates pitchers put just 35% of their swings in play this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
The softest ball hit off of the Pirates pitchers this season was just 16.7 MPH — tied for 5th best in MLB
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
The softest ball hit off of the Reds pitchers this season was 29.8 MPH — 2nd highest in MLB
Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 59% this season — lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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