• The Reds are -155 favorites vs the Pirates
• Pirates vs Reds Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Pirates / Reds TV Channel: RDTV | SNPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+125) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-155) on August 2, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Pirates are 56-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 60-49 ATS.

Pirates vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 6-7, 4.83 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Chase Burns 12-1, 2.40 ERA

Pirates vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nick Gonzales has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+13.00 Units / 144% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+12.35 Units / 52% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+12.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.20 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.05 Units / 31% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 49% ROI)
• JJ Bleday has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+12.45 Units / 125% ROI)
• Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.55 Units / 31% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 40% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.50 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.20 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.10 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.15 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 35 games (+2.85 Units / 6% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+13.10 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.40 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+4.55 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+4.40 Units / 34% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 55-54 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -0.14% ROI).

• 56-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.35 Units / -6.69% ROI
• 63-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.45 Units / 10.09% ROI
• 46-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.05 Units / -18.73% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 60-49 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -1.87% ROI).

• 52-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -4.53% ROI
• 58-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 1.48% ROI
• 51-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -10.17% ROI

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Pirates are just 24-31 (.436) after a win this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 5-29 (.147) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are 32-24 (.571) after a loss this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Pirates are just 1-46 (.021) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Reds are just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Reds are just 25-31 (.446) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Reds are 5-51 (.089) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Reds are just 6-30 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .350 (2,219 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .346 (3,100 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of .793 (2,219 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds are batting just .115 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .210 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .220 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 37% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates have allowed 5.14 runs per game (293/57) at home this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strike rate of just 62% this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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