• The Pirates are -115 favorites vs the Reds
• Pirates vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
• Pirates / Reds TV Channel: RDTV | SNPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (-115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-105) on July 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Pirates are against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are ATS.

Pirates vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Yohan Ramirez 6-3, 3.18 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Rhett Lowder 3-7, 5.59 ERA

Pirates vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Pirates vs Reds and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nick Gonzales has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+20.50 Units / 205% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 26% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+10.75 Units / 58% ROI)
• Ryan O’Hearn has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+10.60 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 41% ROI)
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.75 Units / 37% ROI)
• JJ Bleday has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+10.45 Units / 149% ROI)
• Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.25 Units / 38% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 away games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+4.50 Units / 49% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.70 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+8.90 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.70 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.70 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+3.25 Units / 32% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Reds vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Pirates are just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Pirates are just 24-31 (.436) after a win this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.

The Pirates are 24-13 (.649) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Reds (21st runs allowed).

The Pirates are just 24-31 (.436) after a win since the 2025 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Reds are just 4-16 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are 5-50 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Reds are just 23-30 (.434) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Reds are just 5-30 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

The Pirates have scored in at least three different innings in 59% of their games this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Games involving the Pirates went OVER in 70% of their games (33.7% ROI) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Reds (21st runs allowed).

Games involving the Pirates went OVER in 58% of their games (11.9% ROI) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Pirates have scored first in 62% of their games against division opponents this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds have a winning percentage of just 43% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Reds have scored first in just 41% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Reds have an xwOBA of just .308 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds have answered-back in just 22% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

The Pirates pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The softest ball hit off of the Pirates pitchers this season was just 16.7 MPH — tied for 5th best in MLB

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 45% of their games this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.4 MPH (2,657 batted balls) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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