• The Pirates are -135 favorites vs the Reds
• Pirates vs Reds Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Pirates / Reds TV Channel: RDTV | SNPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (-135) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+110) on July 31, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Pirates are against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are ATS.

Pirates vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 9-9, 3.69 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 2-2, 7.18 ERA

Pirates vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Pirates vs Reds and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.35 Units / 31% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+15.00 Units / 214% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+12.80 Units / 50% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+12.10 Units / 42% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.50 Units / 65% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+17.15 Units / 38% ROI)
• Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.05 Units / 33% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 41% ROI)
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.75 Units / 37% ROI)
• JJ Bleday has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+9.45 Units / 118% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+6.80 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 away games (+6.65 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 65% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+3.25 Units / 31% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+13.15 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+9.90 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+9.55 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+4.95 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+4.25 Units / 38% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Reds vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Pirates are just 24-31 (.436) after a win this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.

The Pirates are 24-14 (.632) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Reds (21st runs allowed).

The Pirates are just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Pirates are just 1-45 (.022) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Reds are just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are 5-50 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Reds are just 8-46 (.148) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Reds are just 24-30 (.444) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

The Pirates are batting .303 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .350 (2,219 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates hitters are slugging .433 against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds are batting just .116 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .212 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .219 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

The Pirates have allowed 1.70 runs per game (187/110) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The softest ball hit off of the Pirates pitchers this season was just 16.7 MPH — tied for 5th best in MLB

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% in the first 5 innings this season — 4th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have attempted to pick off a runner at second base 38 times this season — 2nd most in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games at home this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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