- The Reds are -135 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Reds Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Pirates / Reds TV Channel: FS1 | RDTV | SNP+
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-135) on March 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Pirates are 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 2-1 ATS.
Pirates vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Chase Burns 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Pirates vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Pirates vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+14.80 Units / 185% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+13.75 Units / 91% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.05 Units / 61% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+10.05 Units / 67% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+9.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+8.80 Units / 98% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+7.55 Units / 108% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 88 of their last 150 games (+27.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 92 of their last 151 games (+26.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 124 games (+24.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 64 away games (+15.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 104 games (+11.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 141 games (+30.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 76 games (+6.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 60 games at home (+6.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 1-2 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -46.07% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -13.33% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 2-1 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 17.86% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 43.33% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Reds vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez (CIN) | +260 |
| Brandon Lowe (PIT) | +333 |
| Marcell Ozuna (PIT) | +350 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | +375 |
| Sal Stewart (CIN) | +375 |
Reds vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sal Stewart (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Eugenio Suarez (CIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Matt McLain (CIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Reds vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sal Stewart (CIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Eugenio Suarez (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Marcell Ozuna (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
| Brandon Lowe (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Reds vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chase Burns (CIN) | 6.5 -160 | 6.5 +120 |
| Braxton Ashcraft (PIT) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Pirates were just 27-54 (.333) on the road in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .457.
The Pirates were just 6-35 (.146) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Pirates were just 1-80 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Pirates were just 6-50 (.107) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Reds are just 20-38 (.345) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 12-27 (.308) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 8-125 (.060) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Reds were just 29-31 (.483) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams in the 2025 season Today, they face the Pirates (28th runs allowed).
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters slugged just .333 on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Pirates batted just .121 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Pirates hitters slugged just .186 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
The Pirates batted just .207 against division opponents in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters chased 19% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Reds hitters slugged just .353 against LHP in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
Reds hitters do not have an extra-base hit out of 8 total hits against RHP in the postseason — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .178 (45 PA’s) with bases empty in the postseason — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers won only 14% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.
The Pirates pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 47% of their games at home in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers had an ERA of 3.43 (741.0 IP) at home in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .228 against Reds pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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