- The Rockies are -145 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates starting pitcher: Richard Hill
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+120) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-145) on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The Rockies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Pirates vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Pirates are 9-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 4-12 ATS.
Pirates vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -150 | O 11.5 -105 | +120 |
| Rockies | -1.5 +125 | U 11.5 -115 | -145 |
Pirates vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 65.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 55% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.15 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 89% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.10 Units / 41% ROI)
Rockies vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Rockies vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| C.J. Cron | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.5 +120 | 1.5 -160 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Rockies vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Rockies vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rich Hill | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
| Kyle Freeland | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 7 away games (+7.60 Units / 97% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+6.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+4.95 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.75 Units / 37% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 9-7 against the Run Line (-0.3 Units / -1.36% ROI).
- 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 33.84% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -8.62% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 2.81% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 4-12 against the Run Line (-8.4 Units / -48.42% ROI).
- 5-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -28.17% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -5.46% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -2.06% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 62% of the time (40/64) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Rich Hill has a strikeout rate of just 24% (8 SO in 33 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Rich Hill has a strikeout rate of just 12% (8 SO in 65 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (15/113) against Rich Hill this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 55% (302/545) of opposing batters since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.
28 of Kyle Freeland’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since last season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (17/119) against Kyle Freeland this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (368/836) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 95th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Pirates are just 96-26 (.787) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Pirates are just 23-91 (.202) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Pirates are just 59-39 (.602) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Pirates are just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rockies are just 36-34 (.514) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Rockies are just 25-12 (.676) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .807.
The Rockies are just 13-30 (.302) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 2-7 (.222) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .146 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Pirates hitters have put just 30% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .283 (2,005 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .284 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting just .159 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .345 (3,370 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 647 of 6,854 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 3.05 (88.2 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,458 of 14,746 batters (10%) since the 2020 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 8% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Rockies vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Knee, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Forearm, D15
- Randal Grichuk (Rockies): Hernia, D10
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Bard (Rockies): Anxiety, D15
- Chase De Jong (Pirates): Knee, D15
- Robert Zastryzny (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D10
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
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