- The Pirates are -110 favorites vs the Rockies
- Pirates starting pitcher: Vincent Velasquez
- Rockies starting pitcher: José Ureña
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-110) on Tuesday, April 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The Pirates are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Pirates vs Rockies Over/Under is 13 total runs for the game.
This season, the Pirates are 10-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 4-13 ATS.
Pirates vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 +125 | O 13 -105 | -110 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -155 | U 13 -115 | -110 |
Pirates vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.40 Units / 55% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+7.70 Units / 96% ROI)
- Rodolfo Castro has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 70% ROI)
- Rodolfo Castro has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.20 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Rockies vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
Rockies vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Jurickson Profar | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| C.J. Cron | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.5 +120 | 1.5 -160 |
Rockies vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
Rockies vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Urena | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -160 |
| Vincent Velasquez | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 8 away games (+8.60 Units / 97% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+6.20 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.85 Units / 42% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 10-7 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 2.97% ROI).
- 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units / 38.79% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -2.7% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -2.92% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 4-13 against the Run Line (-9.4 Units / -51.23% ROI).
- 5-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -33.42% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -7.78% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 6% (1/16) against Vince Velasquez — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (4/27) against Vince Velasquez in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 16% (3/19) against Vince Velasquez’s curve and slider this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (5/21) against Vince Velasquez this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 43% — ninth Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Urena has allowed an OPS of 2.622 (15 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 1.147 — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .338 (78-for-231) against Jose Urena since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.
Jose Urena has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.238 (26 Total Bases / 21 ABs) on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .478 — 0 Percentile.
Jose Urena has allowed an OBP of .413 (264 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: .304 — first Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Pirates are just 96-26 (.787) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Pirates are just 107-75 (.588) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Pirates are just 58-133 (.304) on the road since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Pirates are just 60-39 (.606) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rockies are just 25-12 (.676) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .806.
The Rockies are just 29-61 (.322) on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Rockies are just 13-30 (.302) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 36-35 (.507) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Pirates are batting just .146 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .663 (4,154 PA’s) against LHP since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .296 (4,154 PA’s) against LHP since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .284 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,458 of 14,746 batters (10%) since the 2020 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 651 of 6,893 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 19 of 146 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Knee, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Forearm, D15
- Randal Grichuk (Rockies): Hernia, D10
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Bard (Rockies): Anxiety, D15
- Chase De Jong (Pirates): Knee, D15
- Robert Zastryzny (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D10
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
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