- The Rockies (41-49) are -145 favorites vs the Pirates (38-52)
- Pirates starting pitcher: José Quintana (2-4), 3.58 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Germán Márquez (5-7), 5.66 ERA
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+120) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-145) on Friday, July 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The Rockies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Pirates vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Pirates are 38-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 47-43 ATS.
Pirates vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -150 | O 11 -110 | +120 |
| Rockies | -1.5 +125 | U 11 -110 | -145 |
Pirates vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Friday‘s matchup with 71.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rodolfo Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Strikeouts Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jose Quintana has hit the Strikeouts Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Rodolfo Castro has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Rodolfo Castro has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+4.05 Units / 57% ROI)
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- German Marquez has hit the Earned Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Antonio Senzatela has hit the Earned Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.15 Units / 63% ROI)
- German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- German Marquez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units / 63% ROI)
- Antonio Senzatela has hit the Strikeouts Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.80 Units / 51% ROI)
Rockies vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Rockies vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 1.5 +130 | 1.5 -190 |
| C.J. Cron | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -225 |
| Connor Joe | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
Rockies vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -145 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
Rockies vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| German Marquez | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -115 |
| Jose Quintana | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 81 games (+8.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+6.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 46 away games (+5.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+4.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+9.90 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 79 games (+7.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 39 games (+4.55 Units / 11% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 46-44 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -2.7% ROI).
- 38-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 1.91% ROI
- 37-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.1 Units / -14.3% ROI
- 47-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.25 Units / 6.26% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 47-43 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -2.69% ROI).
- 41-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 0.77% ROI
- 43-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -2.56% ROI
- 41-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.5 Units / -6.59% ROI
José Quintana: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has thrown his changeup for a strike just 50% (269/534) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .318 (56-for-176) against Jose Quintana versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .220 — 0 Percentile.
Jose Quintana has allowed an OBP of .366 (191 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .276 — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to June 23rd — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 8.
Germán Márquez: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
German Marquez has allowed an OPS of .877 (189 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .680 — third Percentile.
German Marquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .549 (96 Total Bases / 175 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — third Percentile.
German Marquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .701 (47 Total Bases / 67 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .427 — third Percentile.
German Marquez has allowed 7 home runs on the first pitch of at-bats this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Pirates are just 81-21 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.
The Pirates are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Pirates are just 33-5 (.868) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Pirates are just 4-38 (.095) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rockies are just 15-27 (.357) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Rockies are 7-37 (.159) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Rockies are just 12-27 (.308) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are 28-1 (.966) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .146 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .285 (1,148 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .296 (2,893 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Pirates are batting just .205 with two outs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Rockies are batting .283 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .367 (1,134 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 211 of 2,193 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 72 of 794 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 8.40 (45.0 IP) at home this month (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.81.
Pirates pitchers have walked 270 of 2,709 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.8
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.2 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.7
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rockies vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Undisclosed, D10
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Undisclosed, D15
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
- Bryan Reynolds (Pirates): Oblique, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
- Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Greg Allen (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
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