Pirates vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 15, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rockies (41-49) are -145 favorites vs the Pirates (38-52)
  • Pirates starting pitcher: José Quintana (2-4), 3.58 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Germán Márquez (5-7), 5.66 ERA
  • Watch the game on Apple TV+

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+120) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-145) on Friday, July 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.

The Rockies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Pirates vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Pirates are 38-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 47-43 ATS.

Pirates vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates+1.5 -150O 11 -110+120
Rockies -1.5 +125U 11 -110-145

Pirates vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Friday‘s matchup with 71.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rockies vs Pirates and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rodolfo Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Mitch Keller has hit the Strikeouts Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jose Quintana has hit the Strikeouts Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.10 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Rodolfo Castro has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Rodolfo Castro has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+4.05 Units / 57% ROI)

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • German Marquez has hit the Earned Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Antonio Senzatela has hit the Earned Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.15 Units / 63% ROI)
  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • German Marquez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Antonio Senzatela has hit the Strikeouts Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.80 Units / 51% ROI)

Rockies vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
C.J. Cron 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Connor Joe 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Elias Diaz 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Rockies vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 1.5 +130 1.5 -190
C.J. Cron 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Charlie Blackmon 1.5 +150 1.5 -225
Connor Joe 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Elias Diaz 0.5 -275 0.5 +190

Rockies vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
C.J. Cron 0.5 +105 0.5 -145
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Connor Joe 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Elias Diaz 0.5 +130 0.5 -190

Rockies vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
German Marquez 4.5 -120 4.5 -115
Jose Quintana 3.5 -130 3.5 -110
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 81 games (+8.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+6.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 46 away games (+5.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+4.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+9.90 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 79 games (+7.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 39 games (+4.55 Units / 11% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 46-44 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -2.7% ROI).

  • 38-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 1.91% ROI
  • 37-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.1 Units / -14.3% ROI
  • 47-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.25 Units / 6.26% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 47-43 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -2.69% ROI).

  • 41-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 0.77% ROI
  • 43-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -2.56% ROI
  • 41-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.5 Units / -6.59% ROI

Jose Quintana has thrown his changeup for a strike just 50% (269/534) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .318 (56-for-176) against Jose Quintana versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .220 — 0 Percentile.

Jose Quintana has allowed an OBP of .366 (191 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .276 — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to June 23rd — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 8.

Germán Márquez: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

German Marquez has allowed an OPS of .877 (189 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .680 — third Percentile.

German Marquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .549 (96 Total Bases / 175 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — third Percentile.

German Marquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .701 (47 Total Bases / 67 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .427 — third Percentile.

German Marquez has allowed 7 home runs on the first pitch of at-bats this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Pirates are just 81-21 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.

The Pirates are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Pirates are just 33-5 (.868) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Pirates are just 4-38 (.095) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Rockies are just 15-27 (.357) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Rockies are 7-37 (.159) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Rockies are just 12-27 (.308) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are 28-1 (.966) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Pirates are batting just .146 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .285 (1,148 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .296 (2,893 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

The Pirates are batting just .205 with two outs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.

The Rockies are batting .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Rockies are batting .283 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .367 (1,134 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Pirates pitchers have walked 211 of 2,193 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 72 of 794 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 8.40 (45.0 IP) at home this month (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.81.

Pirates pitchers have walked 270 of 2,709 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.8

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.2 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.7

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Rockies vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Undisclosed, D10
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Undisclosed, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
  • Bryan Reynolds (Pirates): Oblique, D10
  • Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Greg Allen (Pirates): Hamstring, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.