Pirates vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 16, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rockies (42-49) are -140 favorites vs the Pirates (38-53)
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller (3-6), 4.88 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: José Ureña (0-1), 2.65 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+115) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-140) on Saturday, July 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Rockies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Pirates vs Rockies Over/Under is 12 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Pirates are 38-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 48-43 ATS.

Pirates vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates+1.5 -155O 12 -115+115
Rockies -1.5 +125U 12 -105-140

Pirates vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Saturday‘s matchup with 69.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rockies vs Pirates and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zach Thompson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Rodolfo Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Kevin Newman has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+7.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jake Marisnick has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+7.15 Units / 72% ROI)

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+12.35 Units / 55% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.65 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Jose Iglesias has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+9.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+8.00 Units / 56% ROI)

Rockies vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Brian Serven 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
C.J. Cron 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Connor Joe 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Rockies vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 1.5 +145 1.5 -200
Brian Serven 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
C.J. Cron 1.5 +160 1.5 -250
Charlie Blackmon 1.5 +155 1.5 -225
Connor Joe 1.5 +160 1.5 -250

Rockies vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Brian Serven 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
C.J. Cron 0.5 -105 0.5 -135
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
Connor Joe 0.5 +165 0.5 -250

Rockies vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Urena 2.5 -115 2.5 -115
Mitch Keller 3.5 -140 3.5 +100
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 27 games (+10.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 82 games (+7.60 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 90 games (+6.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 50 games (+2.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 38 games (+11.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+10.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 80 games (+8.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 46-45 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -3.88% ROI).

  • 38-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 0.84% ROI
  • 38-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.1 Units / -13.15% ROI
  • 47-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.1 Units / 5.05% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 48-43 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -1.62% ROI).

  • 42-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 1.78% ROI
  • 44-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -1.54% ROI
  • 41-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.65 Units / -7.67% ROI

Opponents are hitting .428 (154-for-360) against Mitch Keller in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: .332 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .303 (222-for-733) against Mitch Keller since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.

Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .400 (195 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: .300 — 0 Percentile.

Mitch Keller has a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% (462/836) since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.

José Ureña: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting .400 (10-for-25) against Jose Urena — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .221 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 49% (26/53) against Jose Urena on the first pitch of at-bats — tied for 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.

Jose Urena has struck out just 7% (2/30) of left-handed batters he faced — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.

Jose Urena has walked 5 of 30 left-handed batters (17%) — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — sixth Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Pirates are just 3-22 (.120) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Pirates are just 81-21 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.

The Pirates are just 49-110 (.308) on the road since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.

The Pirates are just 3-5 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Rockies are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are 33-1 (.971) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Rockies are just 15-27 (.357) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Rockies are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Pirates are batting just .206 with two outs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .661 (2,896 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .365 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.

The Pirates are batting just .146 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

The Rockies are batting .287 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .353 (1,887 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Rockies are batting .293 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.1 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.7.

Pirates pitchers have walked 271 of 2,717 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 73 of 802 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 8.40 (45.0 IP) at home this month (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.81.

Pirates pitchers have walked 212 of 2,201 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.3

Rockies pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 9% of innings played this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% this month (15 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% over the last 14 days (14 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Undisclosed, D10
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Undisclosed, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
  • Bryan Reynolds (Pirates): Oblique, D10
  • Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Greg Allen (Pirates): Hamstring, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.