- The – are favorites vs the –
- Pirates starting pitcher: Richard Hill
- Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Pittsburgh Pirates () visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers () on Wednesday, May 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Pirates vs Tigers Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Pirates are 22-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 23-17 ATS.
Pirates vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | O | ||
| Tigers | U |
Pirates vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Runs Under in his last 14 games (+14.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 games at home (+15.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+10.55 Units / 67% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+10.45 Units / 26% ROI)
Tigers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Tigers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Tigers vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Tigers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 14 games (+12.20 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+5.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 39 games (+5.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.20 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+4.45 Units / 17% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+13.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games (+4.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games (+4.20 Units / 13% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 22-20 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -2.04% ROI).
- 22-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 9.8% ROI
- 18-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -10.7% ROI
- 21-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.55 Units / 3.36% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 23-17 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 7.15% ROI).
- 19-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.45 Units / 20.94% ROI
- 19-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -6.94% ROI
- 20-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -1.15% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Rich Hill has an average fastball velocity of just 87.3 MPH this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 93.7 — first Percentile.
10 of Rich Hill’s 24 breaking pitch strikeouts (42%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 96th Percentile.
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (362/712) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .125 (2-for-16) against Rich Hill on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .351 — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed an OBP of just .217 (189 PA’s) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .307 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .103 (4-for-39) against Eduardo Rodriguez’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .100 (2-for-20) against Eduardo Rodriguez on low fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .261 — 96th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .103 (4 Total Bases / 39 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Pirates are 13-1 (.929) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .684.
The Pirates are just 0-16 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Pirates are just 8-92 (.080) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Pirates are just 29-103 (.220) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Tigers are 10-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Tigers are just 11-82 (.118) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Tigers are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Tigers are 10-1 (.909) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .148 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .261 over the past seven days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .665 (5,163 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Pirates are batting just .225 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .614 (5,530 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .280 (5,530 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .333 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .223 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 731 of 7,817 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 13 of 103 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 2.58 (97.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 158 of 1,785 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D15
- Robert Zastryzny (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
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