Pirates vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 26

Detroit Tigers' Parker Meadows reacts after hitting a double against the Oakland Athletics during the third inning of a baseball game Sunday, Sept. 24, 2023, in Oakland, Calif.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
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  • The Pirates are -110 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Pirates vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Pirates / Tigers TV Channel: DSN | SNPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-110) on September 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Pirates are 81-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 76-78 ATS.

Pirates vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Pirates starting pitcher: Kirby Yates 2-5, 3.38 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Justin Verlander 0-1, 12.29 ERA

Pirates vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates-1.5 +154O 8.5 +100-110
Tigers +1.5 -190U 8.5 -120-110

Pirates vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+18.10 Units / 181% ROI)
  • Spencer Horwitz has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+15.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jake Mangum has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+12.50 Units / 250% ROI)
  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+10.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 101% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+8.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 25 away games (+4.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+16.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+8.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+6.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+4.90 Units / 17% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 77-79 against the Run Line (-7.65 Units / -3.77% ROI).

  • 81-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -4.44% ROI
  • 81-72 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 1.08% ROI
  • 72-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.75 Units / -9.53% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 76-78 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -2.76% ROI).

  • 75-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.3 Units / -11.28% ROI
  • 70-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.95 Units / -11.32% ROI
  • 82-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.3 Units / 3.01% ROI

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Pirates are just 7-58 (.108) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 7-39 (.152) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 14-82 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 21-126 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Tigers are just 3-12 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are just 64-42 (.604) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are just 4-10 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are just 60-13 (.822) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have 131 extra-base hits out of 441 total hits (just 30%) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .375 on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .268 at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Tigers hitters have been successful in just 60% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers have answered-back in just 22% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .134 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The softest ball hit off of the Pirates pitchers this season was just 16.7 MPH — tied for 5th best in MLB

The Pirates have won just 27% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.35 (717.1 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .306 (5,907 PA’s) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The Tigers have allowed 3.75 runs per game (296/79) at home this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.