Pirates vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 27

Detroit Tigers' Spencer Torkelson celebrates his three-run home run against the Kansas City Royals in the seventh inning of a baseball game, Thursday, Sept. 28, 2023, in Detroit.
(AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
Odds Boost This Week
  • The Pirates are -135 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Pirates vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Pirates / Tigers TV Channel: DSN | SNPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (-135) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+110) on September 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10 pm in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Pirates are 81-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 77-78 ATS.

Pirates vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 5-6, 3.87 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: River Ryan 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Pirates vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates-1.5 +125O 8 -115-135
Tigers +1.5 -155U 8 -105+110

Pirates vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Spencer Horwitz has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 20 away games (+17.05 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+16.50 Units / 165% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+9.70 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.95 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+13.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+9.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+15.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+8.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+6.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.10 Units / 23% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 77-80 against the Run Line (-8.65 Units / -4.24% ROI).

  • 81-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -4.92% ROI
  • 81-73 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 0.45% ROI
  • 73-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.75 Units / -8.91% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 77-78 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units / -2.25% ROI).

  • 76-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.3 Units / -10.71% ROI
  • 70-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.05 Units / -11.87% ROI
  • 83-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.3 Units / 3.56% ROI

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Pirates are just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 21-127 (.142) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 3-147 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 14-83 (.144) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Tigers are just 65-42 (.607) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are just 3-12 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are 12-62 (.162) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Tigers are just 60-13 (.822) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have 131 extra-base hits out of 442 total hits (just 30%) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .377 on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .268 at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Tigers hitters have been successful in just 55% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 13% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have 139 extra-base hits out of 376 total hits (37%) against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The softest ball hit off of the Pirates pitchers this season was just 16.7 MPH — tied for 5th best in MLB

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .234 against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.35 (726.1 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .232 against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.