Pirates vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 14

Chicago White Sox's watches the flight of the ball during a baseball game against the Los Angeles Angels Wednesday, May 31, 2023, in Chicago.
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
  • The Pirates are -200 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Pirates vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Pirates / White Sox TV Channel: NSCH | SNPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (-190) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+155) on Sunday, July 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Pirates are 47-48 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 44-53 ATS.

Pirates vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 10-5, 3.43 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Jared Shuster 1-2, 3.52 ERA

Pirates vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates-1.5 -115O 9 -120-190
White Sox +1.5 -105U 9 +100+155

Pirates vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 63.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Pirates vs White Sox and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+17.00 Units / 170% ROI)
  • Lenyn Sosa has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games (+14.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 51 games (+12.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 56 games (+8.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+9.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+2.50 Units / 21% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 51-44 against the Run Line (+3.86 Units / 3.11% ROI).

  • 47-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -2.04% ROI
  • 43-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.45 Units / -8.97% ROI
  • 48-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.68 Units / 1.62% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 44-53 against the Run Line (-14.3 Units / -12.23% ROI).

  • 27-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -34.3 Units / -34.25% ROI
  • 43-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -10.36% ROI
  • 49-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 2.04% ROI

White Sox vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Joey Bart (PIT) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Nick Gonzales (PIT) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Jack Suwinski (PIT) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

White Sox vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tommy Pham (CWS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Lenyn Sosa (CWS) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

White Sox vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Nick Gonzales (PIT) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) 0.5 +175 0.5 -225

White Sox vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mitch Keller (PIT) 5.5 -135 5.5 +105
Jared Shuster (CWS) 2.5 +100 2.5 -130

Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .337 (727 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — eighth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (50/154) against Mitch Keller this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — eighth Percentile.

Mitch Keller has walked 11 of 234 left-handed batters (5%) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 92nd Percentile.

Mitch Keller has not walked any of the 18 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jared Shuster has a strike rate of just 56% (251/446) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Jared Shuster has a strike rate of just 56% (251/446) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Jared Shuster has a strikeout rate of just 32% (25 SO in 78 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 8th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.

Jared Shuster has struck out just 13% (8/61) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 7th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 24% — seventh Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Pirates are just 43-58 (.426) after a home win since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Pirates are just 3-27 (.100) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Pirates are 12-1 (.923) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.

The Pirates are just 75-107 (.412) after a win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The White Sox are just 13-13 (.500) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.

The White Sox are just 67-29 (.698) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.

The White Sox are just 71-56 (.559) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.

The White Sox are just 23-23 (.500) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .361 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .657 (2,593 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Pirates are batting just .221 with two outs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .677 (10,783 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .287 (4,717 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .276 (1,765 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (9,492 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .284 (7,301 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Pirates pitchers have walked 1,467 of 16,108 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Pirates pitchers this month (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games since the 2022 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Pirates pitchers have 159 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd most in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 13% of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

White Sox pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The White Sox have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 2% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

White Sox vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
  • Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
  • Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
  • Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
  • Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
  • JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL

Bet now on Pirates vs White Sox and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.