• The White Sox are -150 favorites vs the Pirates
• Pirates vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Pirates / White Sox TV Channel: CHSN | SNPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+125) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-150) on September 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Pirates are 71-73 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 81-59 ATS.

Pirates vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Bubba Chandler 6-9, 4.32 ERA
• White Sox starting pitcher: Sean Burke 8-6, 3.20 ERA

Pirates vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Spencer Horwitz has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jacob Gonzalez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 35% ROI)
• Spencer Horwitz has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.85 Units / 35% ROI)
• Henry Davis has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+7.00 Units / 175% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tristan Peters has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games at home (+42.00 Units / 525% ROI)
• Miguel Vargas has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 68% ROI)
• Miguel Vargas has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• Miguel Vargas has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 51% ROI)
• Braden Montgomery has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+10.60 Units / 71% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.55 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.30 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+2.75 Units / 22% ROI)

White Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.85 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.15 Units / 15% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 66-74 against the Run Line (-14.55 Units / -8.03% ROI).

• 71-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.35 Units / -7.45% ROI
• 74-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.75 Units / 2.36% ROI
• 64-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.05 Units / -10.78% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 81-59 against the Run Line (+7.75 Units / 3.83% ROI).

• 75-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.65 Units / 8.81% ROI
• 80-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.95 Units / 8.25% ROI
• 61-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -27.3 Units / -17.31% ROI

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Pirates are just 6-35 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 10-23 (.303) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 30-40 (.429) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 13-78 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The White Sox are 40-28 (.588) after a loss this season — 5th best in MLB.

The White Sox are 23-26 (.469) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The White Sox are 14-5 (.737) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The White Sox are 43-28 (.606) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .347 (2,774 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 31% of their PA’s in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have 111 extra-base hits out of 446 total hits (just 25%) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

White Sox hitters have 67 extra-base hits out of 138 total hits (49%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

The White Sox are 43-19 (.694) against the run line (24.7% ROI) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Pirates (fifth in runs scored).

White Sox hitters have grounded into 64 double plays in 1,026 opportunities (6%) this season — best in MLB.

The White Sox are batting just .228 on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

The Pirates have won just 23% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

The softest ball hit off of the Pirates pitchers this season was just 16.7 MPH — tied for 5th best in MLB

The Pirates have won just 17% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The White Sox have won 50% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the White Sox pitchers this season traveled 460.0 feet — — tied for 3rd longest in MLB

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.20 (374.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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