- The Angels (42-56) are -225 favorites vs the Rangers (43-54)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Spencer Howard (1-2), 7.10 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani (9-5), 2.79 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Texas Rangers (+185) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-225) on Thursday, July 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Rangers vs Angels Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 43-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 45-53 ATS.
Rangers vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -110 | O 7.5 -105 | +185 |
| Angels | -1.5 -110 | U 7.5 -115 | -225 |
Rangers vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 33 away games (+16.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 44 away games (+15.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+14.70 Units / 67% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 33 away games (+14.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 40 games (+13.40 Units / 34% ROI)
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 27 games (+18.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+11.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.20 Units / 33% ROI)
Angels vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Max Stassi | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Angels vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Max Stassi | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
Angels vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Max Stassi | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Angels vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 8.5 +115 | 8.5 -160 |
| Spencer Howard | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 86 games (+19.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 58 games (+11.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.45 Units / 22% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 47 of their last 85 games (+11.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+7.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 41 games at home (+5.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 40 games at home (+5.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.10 Units / 42% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 56-41 against the Run Line (+11.45 Units / 9.08% ROI).
- 43-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.6 Units / -9.57% ROI
- 45-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -2.66% ROI
- 44-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -4.86% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 45-53 against the Run Line (-12.35 Units / -10.27% ROI).
- 42-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.15 Units / -19.51% ROI
- 44-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -9.19% ROI
- 49-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 0.84% ROI
Spencer Howard: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 17% (3/18) against Spencer Howard — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Spencer Howard has walked 8 of 48 batters (17%) — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 15% (22/144) against Spencer Howard this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 11% (9/81) against Spencer Howard — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.679 (205 PA’s) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 1.152 — 97th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.735 (76 PA’s) when ahead in the count this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 1.109 — 96th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has a strikeout rate of 63% (71 SO in 113 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani is slugging .991 (110 total bases in 111 ABs) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .646 — 97th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Rangers are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Rangers are just 21-26 (.447) at home this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Rangers are just 11-23 (.324) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 31-6 (.838) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Angels are just 4-28 (.125) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
The Angels are just 2-7 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 5-27 (.156) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .688 (2,923 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (2,923 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (9,581 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .644 (3,182 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 952 strikeouts in 3,621 PA’s (26%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters are slugging just .237 at home this month (5 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Angels are batting just .183 at home this month (5 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Angels are batting just .217 on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 78 of 866 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 340 of 3,691 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 47 of 428 batters (11%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 21 of 172 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (20 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 21% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Angels pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Michael Trout (Angels): Back, D10
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Arm, Day-to-Day
- Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Neck, D10
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15
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