Rangers vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 28, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Angels (42-56) are -225 favorites vs the Rangers (43-54)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Spencer Howard (1-2), 7.10 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani (9-5), 2.79 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Texas Rangers (+185) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-225) on Thursday, July 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.

The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Rangers vs Angels Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 43-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 45-53 ATS.

Rangers vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -110O 7.5 -105+185
Angels -1.5 -110U 7.5 -115-225

Rangers vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 33 away games (+16.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 44 away games (+15.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+14.70 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 33 away games (+14.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 40 games (+13.40 Units / 34% ROI)

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 27 games (+18.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+11.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.20 Units / 33% ROI)

Angels vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Marsh 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Jared Walsh 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Jo Adell 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Luis Rengifo 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Max Stassi 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Angels vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Jared Walsh 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Jo Adell 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Luis Rengifo 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Max Stassi 0.5 -155 0.5 +110

Angels vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Marsh 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Jared Walsh 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Jo Adell 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Luis Rengifo 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Max Stassi 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Angels vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani 8.5 +115 8.5 -160
Spencer Howard 4.5 -105 4.5 -135
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 86 games (+19.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 58 games (+11.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 47 of their last 85 games (+11.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+7.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 41 games at home (+5.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 40 games at home (+5.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.10 Units / 42% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 56-41 against the Run Line (+11.45 Units / 9.08% ROI).

  • 43-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.6 Units / -9.57% ROI
  • 45-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -2.66% ROI
  • 44-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -4.86% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 45-53 against the Run Line (-12.35 Units / -10.27% ROI).

  • 42-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.15 Units / -19.51% ROI
  • 44-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -9.19% ROI
  • 49-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 0.84% ROI

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 17% (3/18) against Spencer Howard — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.

Spencer Howard has walked 8 of 48 batters (17%) — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 15% (22/144) against Spencer Howard this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 11% (9/81) against Spencer Howard — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.679 (205 PA’s) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 1.152 — 97th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.735 (76 PA’s) when ahead in the count this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 1.109 — 96th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani has a strikeout rate of 63% (71 SO in 113 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani is slugging .991 (110 total bases in 111 ABs) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .646 — 97th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Rangers are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Rangers are just 21-26 (.447) at home this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Rangers are just 11-23 (.324) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are just 31-6 (.838) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Angels are just 4-28 (.125) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.

The Angels are just 2-7 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 5-27 (.156) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .688 (2,923 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (2,923 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (9,581 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .644 (3,182 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Angels hitters have 952 strikeouts in 3,621 PA’s (26%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels hitters are slugging just .237 at home this month (5 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.

The Angels are batting just .183 at home this month (5 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Angels are batting just .217 on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 78 of 866 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 340 of 3,691 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 47 of 428 batters (11%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels pitchers have walked 21 of 172 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (20 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 21% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Angels pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • Michael Trout (Angels): Back, D10
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Jordon Adell (Angels): Arm, Day-to-Day
  • Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Neck, D10
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.