- The Rangers (44-54) are -105 favorites vs the Angels (42-57)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez (8-2), 2.59 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval (3-6), 3.64 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Texas Rangers (-105) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-115) on Friday, July 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Rangers vs Angels Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 44-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 45-54 ATS.
Rangers vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Rangers | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -110 | -105 |
Angels | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -110 | -115 |
Rangers vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Friday‘s matchup with 78.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 34 away games (+17.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 away games (+15.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 41 games (+15.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+14.70 Units / 67% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 45 away games (+13.35 Units / 20% ROI)
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 28 games (+19.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+12.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.20 Units / 35% ROI)
Angels vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew Velazquez | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Brandon Marsh | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
David Fletcher | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 |
Jared Walsh | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Jo Adell | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Angels vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew Velazquez | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
Brandon Marsh | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
David Fletcher | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Jared Walsh | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Jo Adell | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
Angels vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew Velazquez | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Brandon Marsh | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
David Fletcher | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Jared Walsh | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Jo Adell | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Angels vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Patrick Sandoval | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -160 |
Martin Perez | 4.5 -175 | 4.5 +125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 87 games (+20.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+10.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 46 away games (+0.70 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 51 away games (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 48 of their last 86 games (+12.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+8.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 41 games at home (+4.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 42 games at home (+4.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.75 Units / 12% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 57-41 against the Run Line (+12.45 Units / 9.79% ROI).
- 44-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -7.74% ROI
- 45-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -3.61% ROI
- 45-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -3.89% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 45-54 against the Run Line (-13.45 Units / -11.08% ROI).
- 42-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.5 Units / -20.95% ROI
- 44-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.05 Units / -10.05% ROI
- 50-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 1.75% ROI
Martín Pérez: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of 28% (29 SO in 103 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 96th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 38% of Martin Perez’s fastballs (288/769) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — fourth Percentile.
Martin Perez has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 58% (201/344) of opposing batters this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — sixth Percentile.
Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of just 22% (23 SO in 104 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 12th Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .409 (9-for-22) against Patrick Sandoval with two-strikes — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .178 — first Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has allowed an OBP of .480 (25 PA’s) with two-strikes — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .240 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .432 (16-for-37) against Patrick Sandoval — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .252 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .422 (19-for-45) against Patrick Sandoval’s elevated fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .225 — 0 Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Rangers are just 34-7 (.829) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Rangers are just 21-26 (.447) at home this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Rangers are just 11-23 (.324) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 41-48 (.461) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Angels are just 4-28 (.125) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Angels are just 2-7 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 37-8 (.822) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Angels are just 3-42 (.067) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (9,616 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .644 (3,194 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .302 (1,161 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (6,693 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting just .233 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Angels hitters have 700 strikeouts in 2,591 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have 1,684 strikeouts in 6,673 PA’s (25%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .649 (2,975 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 78 of 875 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 42 of 416 batters (10%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
The Angels have won just 26% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Angels vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Michael Trout (Angels): Back, D10
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Arm, Day-to-Day
- Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Neck, D10
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15
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