- The Astros are -175 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Texas Rangers (+145) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-175) on Saturday, April 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Rangers vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 8-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 7-7 ATS.
Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -140 | O 8 -115 | +145 |
| Astros | -1.5 +115 | U 8 -105 | -175 |
Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.55 Units / 85% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+7.25 Units / 181% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+11.05 Units / 123% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Singles Over in his last 9 games (+9.10 Units / 89% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Brown | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Jon Gray | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.75 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 34% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.20 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 7-6 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 1.8% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 10.78% ROI
- 8-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 16.04% ROI
- 5-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -26.07% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 7-7 against the Run Line (-1.15 Units / -6.2% ROI).
- 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -31.34% ROI
- 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 22.36% ROI
- 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -30.69% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jon Gray has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 81% (29/36) of opposing batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Jon Gray has allowed an OBP of just .244 (287 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 96th Percentile.
Jon Gray has a strike rate of 70% (796/1,137) against right-handed batters since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .200 (54-for-270) against Jon Gray since last season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 93rd Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Brown has not allowed a home run in any of the last 35.2 innings he’s appeared — Shohei Ohtani has the longest active streak at 68.0.
Hunter Brown has thrown his curveball 49% of the time (22/45) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 98th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an OPS of just .348 (21 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .762 — 97th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (18/47) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 96th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 32-31 (.508) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Rangers are just 37-50 (.425) when favorites since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.
The Rangers are just 32-48 (.400) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Rangers are just 21-44 (.323) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 32-17 (.653) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Astros are 50-31 (.617) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Astros are 31-17 (.646) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .544.
The Astros are 41-58 (.414) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .294.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have pulled just 34% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 37% on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .220 (60 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 836 strikeouts in 4,619 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 719 strikeouts in 4,069 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 339 strikeouts in 1,988 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 18 strikeouts in 138 PA’s (13%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 149 of 1,556 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Rangers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 619 of 6,646 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have walked 15 of 128 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
- Chas McCormick (Astros): Eye, Day-to-Day
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Leody Taveras (Rangers): Oblique, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
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