- The Astros (71-40) are -300 favorites vs the Rangers (48-61)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Glenn Otto (4-8), 5.30 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander (15-3), 1.73 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Texas Rangers (+240) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-300) on Wednesday, August 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).
The Rangers vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 48-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 57-54 ATS.
Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +2.5 -135 | O 7.5 -120 | +240 |
| Astros | -2.5 +110 | U 7.5 +100 | -300 |
Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 38 away games (+18.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+15.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 38 away games (+13.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 46 away games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 52 games (+11.20 Units / 22% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 50 games at home (+12.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 55% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 30 games at home (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -140 |
Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 98 games (+17.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 70 games (+9.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games (+9.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.35 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.05 Units / 40% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 109 games (+22.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 62 of their last 98 games (+20.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games (+11.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 95 games (+11.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 92 games (+9.35 Units / 9% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 62-47 against the Run Line (+9.8 Units / 6.86% ROI).
- 48-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.9 Units / -10.36% ROI
- 52-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.08% ROI
- 48-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.55 Units / -7.13% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 57-54 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 3.9% ROI).
- 71-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 3.54% ROI
- 40-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -32.2 Units / -26.55% ROI
- 67-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.85 Units / 18.53% ROI
Glenn Otto: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Glenn Otto has walked 1 of 85 batters (1%) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Glenn Otto has walked 16 of 81 batters (20%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Glenn Otto has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to July 17th — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 7.
Glenn Otto has located his fastball up for a strike just 48% (142/295) of the time this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 60% — second Percentile.
Justin Verlander: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .130 (15 Total Bases / 115 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .248 (258 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 94th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .281 (29 PA’s) vs left-handed batters — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .676 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .520 (498 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .673 — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 37-8 (.822) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Rangers are just 45-55 (.450) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Rangers are just 34-7 (.829) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Rangers are just 13-24 (.351) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 3-31 (.088) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Astros are 43-3 (.935) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Astros are 38-5 (.884) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (3,710 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (3,025 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (10,025 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (7,000 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 610 strikeouts in 3,350 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .264 (5,349 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 91 of 972 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 380 of 4,139 batters (9%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents are hitting just .210 against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 393.0 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Kole Calhoun (Rangers): Heel, D10
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
- Dennis Santana (Rangers): Ankle, D15
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15
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