- The Astros (71-41) are -275 favorites vs the Rangers (49-61)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Cole Ragans (0-0), 0.00 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez (10-4), 2.86 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Texas Rangers (+220) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-275) on Thursday, August 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Rangers vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 49-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 57-55 ATS.
Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 +105 | O 8 -115 | +220 |
| Astros | -1.5 -130 | U 8 -105 | -275 |
Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 39 away games (+19.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+15.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 39 away games (+14.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 53 games (+13.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+11.25 Units / 26% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 31 games at home (+12.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 55% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 51 games at home (+11.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.60 Units / 42% ROI)
Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 99 games (+19.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 39 away games (+9.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+4.60 Units / 75% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 110 games (+21.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 62 of their last 99 games (+18.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+13.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 96 games (+7.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 93 games (+7.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 63-47 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 7.71% ROI).
- 49-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units / -8.25% ROI
- 53-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 0.74% ROI
- 48-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.75 Units / -8.05% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 57-55 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 2.7% ROI).
- 71-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 1.84% ROI
- 41-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.2 Units / -25.51% ROI
- 67-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.65 Units / 17.39% ROI
Cole Ragans: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Ragans has walked 4 of 22 batters (18%) this month (1 games) — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 19% (4/21) against Cole Ragans with two-strikes this month (1 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.
Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .167 (3 Total Bases / 18 ABs) this month (1 games) — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .407 — 94th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has a strike rate of just 59% (55/93) this month (1 games) — tied for 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 65% — ninth Percentile.
Framber Valdez: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (85/122) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (255/375) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (216/311) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 70% (443/635) against Framber Valdez since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 37-8 (.822) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Rangers are just 14-49 (.222) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Rangers are just 35-7 (.833) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Rangers are 15-2 (.882) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 38-6 (.864) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Astros are 43-3 (.935) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Astros are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 35-18 (.660) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (7,043 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (8,505 PA’s) against RHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .679 (7,043 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (3,012 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 614 strikeouts in 3,366 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros hitters have just 2,055 strikeouts in 10,475 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 92 of 982 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 14 of 116 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents are hitting just .211 against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Kole Calhoun (Rangers): Heel, D10
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
- Dennis Santana (Rangers): Ankle, D15
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15
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