Rangers vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 11

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 11, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Astros (71-41) are -275 favorites vs the Rangers (49-61)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Cole Ragans (0-0), 0.00 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez (10-4), 2.86 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW

The Texas Rangers (+220) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-275) on Thursday, August 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).

The Rangers vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 49-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 57-55 ATS.

Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 +105O 8 -115+220
Astros -1.5 -130U 8 -105-275

Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 39 away games (+19.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+15.50 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 39 away games (+14.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 53 games (+13.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+11.25 Units / 26% ROI)

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 31 games at home (+12.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 51 games at home (+11.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.60 Units / 42% ROI)

Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Jake Meyers 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Jose Altuve 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +360 0.5 -650

Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Jake Meyers 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Jeremy Pena 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Jose Altuve 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Kyle Tucker 0.5 -275 0.5 +190

Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Jake Meyers 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Jose Altuve 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +140 0.5 -200

Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Framber Valdez 6.5 -125 6.5 -110
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 99 games (+19.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 39 away games (+9.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+4.60 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 110 games (+21.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 62 of their last 99 games (+18.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+13.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 96 games (+7.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 93 games (+7.85 Units / 7% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 63-47 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 7.71% ROI).

  • 49-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units / -8.25% ROI
  • 53-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 0.74% ROI
  • 48-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.75 Units / -8.05% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 57-55 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 2.7% ROI).

  • 71-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 1.84% ROI
  • 41-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.2 Units / -25.51% ROI
  • 67-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.65 Units / 17.39% ROI

Cole Ragans has walked 4 of 22 batters (18%) this month (1 games) — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 19% (4/21) against Cole Ragans with two-strikes this month (1 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.

Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .167 (3 Total Bases / 18 ABs) this month (1 games) — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .407 — 94th Percentile.

Cole Ragans has a strike rate of just 59% (55/93) this month (1 games) — tied for 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 65% — ninth Percentile.

Framber Valdez: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (85/122) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (255/375) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (216/311) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 70% (443/635) against Framber Valdez since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rangers are just 37-8 (.822) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Rangers are just 14-49 (.222) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

The Rangers are just 35-7 (.833) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Rangers are 15-2 (.882) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Astros are 38-6 (.864) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Astros are 43-3 (.935) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Astros are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 35-18 (.660) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (7,043 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (8,505 PA’s) against RHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .679 (7,043 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (3,012 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Astros hitters have just 614 strikeouts in 3,366 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros hitters have just 2,055 strikeouts in 10,475 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 92 of 982 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 14 of 116 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents are hitting just .211 against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Kole Calhoun (Rangers): Heel, D10
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
  • Dennis Santana (Rangers): Ankle, D15
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.