Rangers vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 09, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Astros (70-40) are -175 favorites vs the Rangers (48-60)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez (9-2), 2.47 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: José Urquidy (10-4), 3.62 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW

The Texas Rangers (+145) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-175) on Tuesday, August 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Rangers vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 48-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 56-54 ATS.

Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -140O 8 -120+145
Astros -1.5 +115U 8 +100-175

Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 55.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 37 away games (+20.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+17.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 37 away games (+14.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 45 away games (+13.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 51 games (+12.20 Units / 24% ROI)

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 29 games at home (+12.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 49 games at home (+10.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 49 games at home (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 74% ROI)

Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Jose Altuve 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Martin Maldonado 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600

Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Jeremy Pena 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Jose Altuve 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Kyle Tucker 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Martin Maldonado 0.5 -110 0.5 -130

Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Jose Altuve 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Martin Maldonado 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Urquidy 5.5 +115 5.5 -160
Martin Perez 3.5 -185 3.5 +125
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 97 games (+19.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 37 away games (+8.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games (+8.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 54 away games (+3.45 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 108 games (+23.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 97 games (+19.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+12.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 94 games (+10.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 91 games (+8.20 Units / 8% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 62-46 against the Run Line (+11.15 Units / 7.88% ROI).

  • 48-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.9 Units / -9.64% ROI
  • 51-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -0.92% ROI
  • 48-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.5 Units / -6.31% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 56-54 against the Run Line (+3.85 Units / 3.03% ROI).

  • 70-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 3.03% ROI
  • 39-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.2 Units / -27.63% ROI
  • 67-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +23.9 Units / 19.55% ROI

Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .172 (17 Total Bases / 99 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .416 — 100th Percentile.

Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of 29% (33 SO in 113 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .141 (14-for-99) against Martin Perez on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 51% (156/306) against Martin Perez this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 84th Percentile.

José Urquidy: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Urquidy has a strike rate of 69% (1,067/1,543) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (68/359) against Jose Urquidy this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 10th Percentile.

Jose Urquidy has a strikeout rate of just 34% (90 SO in 263 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.

Jose Urquidy has a strike rate of 70% (381/547) in two strike counts this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 84th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rangers are just 37-8 (.822) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Rangers are 27-6 (.818) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Rangers are just 14-49 (.222) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

The Rangers are 15-1 (.938) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Astros are 36-23 (.610) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Astros are 25-4 (.862) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Astros are 4-32 (.111) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Astros are 57-5 (.919) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (6,966 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (3,021 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .688 (3,021 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (3,706 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros hitters have just 2,041 strikeouts in 10,398 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 607 strikeouts in 3,323 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .330 (7,075 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Rangers pitchers have walked 91 of 964 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 377 of 4,106 batters (9%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Rangers have won just 24% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Astros pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Astros vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Kole Calhoun (Rangers): Heel, D10
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
  • Dennis Santana (Rangers): Ankle, D15
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.