- The Astros (70-40) are -175 favorites vs the Rangers (48-60)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez (9-2), 2.47 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: José Urquidy (10-4), 3.62 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Texas Rangers (+145) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-175) on Tuesday, August 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Rangers vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 48-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 56-54 ATS.
Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -140 | O 8 -120 | +145 |
| Astros | -1.5 +115 | U 8 +100 | -175 |
Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 55.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 37 away games (+20.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+17.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 37 away games (+14.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 45 away games (+13.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 51 games (+12.20 Units / 24% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 29 games at home (+12.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 55% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 49 games at home (+10.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 49 games at home (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 74% ROI)
Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Urquidy | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -160 |
| Martin Perez | 3.5 -185 | 3.5 +125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 97 games (+19.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 37 away games (+8.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games (+8.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 54 away games (+3.45 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.80 Units / 34% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 108 games (+23.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 97 games (+19.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+12.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 94 games (+10.05 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 91 games (+8.20 Units / 8% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 62-46 against the Run Line (+11.15 Units / 7.88% ROI).
- 48-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.9 Units / -9.64% ROI
- 51-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -0.92% ROI
- 48-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.5 Units / -6.31% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 56-54 against the Run Line (+3.85 Units / 3.03% ROI).
- 70-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 3.03% ROI
- 39-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.2 Units / -27.63% ROI
- 67-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +23.9 Units / 19.55% ROI
Martín Pérez: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .172 (17 Total Bases / 99 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .416 — 100th Percentile.
Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of 29% (33 SO in 113 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .141 (14-for-99) against Martin Perez on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 51% (156/306) against Martin Perez this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 84th Percentile.
José Urquidy: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Urquidy has a strike rate of 69% (1,067/1,543) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (68/359) against Jose Urquidy this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 10th Percentile.
Jose Urquidy has a strikeout rate of just 34% (90 SO in 263 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Jose Urquidy has a strike rate of 70% (381/547) in two strike counts this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 84th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 37-8 (.822) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Rangers are 27-6 (.818) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Rangers are just 14-49 (.222) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Rangers are 15-1 (.938) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 36-23 (.610) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Astros are 25-4 (.862) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Astros are 4-32 (.111) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Astros are 57-5 (.919) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (6,966 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (3,021 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .688 (3,021 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (3,706 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros hitters have just 2,041 strikeouts in 10,398 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 607 strikeouts in 3,323 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .330 (7,075 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 91 of 964 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 377 of 4,106 batters (9%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rangers have won just 24% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Astros vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Kole Calhoun (Rangers): Heel, D10
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
- Dennis Santana (Rangers): Ankle, D15
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15
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