- The Astros are -125 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Astros Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
- Rangers / Astros TV Channel: FOX
The Texas Rangers (+105) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-125) on Saturday, July 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:35pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Rangers are 47-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 47-47 ATS.
Rangers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom 9-2, 2.29 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 10-4, 2.91 ERA
Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -220 | O 6.5 +105 | +105 |
| Astros | -1.5 +180 | U 6.5 -125 | -125 |
Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.70 Units / 72% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+8.50 Units / 212% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Victor Caratini has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+20.90 Units / 261% ROI)
- Cam Smith has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+8.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.70 Units / 107% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 95 games (+15.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 57 of their last 95 games (+14.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 39 away games (+8.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 39 away games (+8.05 Units / 16% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 57 of their last 94 games (+16.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 59 games (+14.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+10.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 61 games (+7.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 86 games (+6.07 Units / 6% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 48-46 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -3.27% ROI).
- 47-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -5.19% ROI
- 37-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.4 Units / -23.72% ROI
- 57-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.85 Units / 14.93% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 47-47 against the Run Line (+1.42 Units / 1.22% ROI).
- 55-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.1 Units / 6.47% ROI
- 40-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.55 Units / -15.1% ROI
- 51-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.2 Units / 6.92% ROI
Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Sam Haggerty (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
| Jacob deGrom (TEX) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jacob deGrom has located his pitches away 73% of the time (517/707) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has allowed an OBP of just .222 (162 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 97th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has allowed an OBP of just .243 (408 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .300 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .183 (28-for-153) against Jacob deGrom when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 93rd Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (291/473) against Framber Valdez in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (185/307) against Framber Valdez this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (201/445) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown his curveball 55% of the time (243/445) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 2-26 (.071) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Rangers are just 22-35 (.386) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Rangers are just 13-23 (.361) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 27-11 (.711) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 43-2 (.956) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting just .160 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .686 (7,197 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .381 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Rangers are batting .352 at home this month (2 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have put just 28% of balls in play to the right side of the field with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters have put 47% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .202 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.33 (842.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.09.
The Rangers have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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