- The Astros are -185 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Texas Rangers (+150) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-185) on Wednesday, July 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Rangers vs Astros Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 59-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 52-50 ATS.
Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -115 | +150 |
| Astros | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -105 | -185 |
Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 73.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in his last 14 away games (+14.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 36 games (+9.25 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+13.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+10.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Corey Julks has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+9.65 Units / 105% ROI)
Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Heaney | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Framber Valdez | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 57 of their last 94 games (+24.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 94 games (+23.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 94 games (+22.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 59 of their last 94 games (+20.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 55 of their last 94 games (+10.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 71 games (+10.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 games (+9.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 79 games (+7.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 49 games at home (+6.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+5.55 Units / 16% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 60-42 against the Run Line (+20.45 Units / 16.29% ROI).
- 59-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.9 Units / 3.38% ROI
- 53-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +6 Units / 5.35% ROI
- 43-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.45 Units / -13.73% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 52-50 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -1.67% ROI).
- 58-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.13% ROI
- 49-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -6.82% ROI
- 51-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -2.12% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.1 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (91 balls in play) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Andrew Heaney has thrown elevated pitches 51% of the time (175/341) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has allowed a slugging percentage of .437 (83 Total Bases / 190 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .309 — third Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (186/347) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (634/1,309) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 67% (372/555) against Framber Valdez in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (173/272) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 50% of the time (240/484) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 56-44 (.560) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Rangers are just 108-17 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Rangers are just 3-7 (.300) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 0-35 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 66-34 (.660) after a loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Astros are 73-15 (.830) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Astros are 29-30 (.492) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .358.
The Astros are 32-17 (.653) after a road loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .591 (2,094 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Rangers hitters are slugging .296 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Rangers hitters are slugging .316 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .849 (2,077 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 510 strikeouts in 2,907 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 890 strikeouts in 4,988 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters are slugging .602 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .376.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 7.91 (52.1 IP) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
The Rangers have won 61% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Rangers have allowed 7.67 runs per game (46/6) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.34 (1177.0 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
Astros vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Oblique, D10
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Oblique, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Thumb, D10
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Biceps, D15
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