• The Rangers are -145 favorites vs the Astros
• Rangers vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Rangers / Astros TV Channel: RASN | SCHN

The Texas Rangers (-145) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (+120) on May 16, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Rangers are 21-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 18-28 ATS.

Rangers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom 3-2, 2.62 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Kai-Wei Teng 1-3, 3.12 ERA

Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Rangers vs Astros and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ezequiel Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+13.00 Units / 162% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 31% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.20 Units / 37% ROI)
• Evan Carter has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.70 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Cam Smith has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+14.05 Units / 93% ROI)
• Braden Shewmake has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+13.00 Units / 162% ROI)
• Cam Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 43% ROI)
• Cam Smith has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.35 Units / 33% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.30 Units / 35% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+8.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.40 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.15 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.05 Units / 30% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.35 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.25 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games (+0.80 Units / 5% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 21-21 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -6.69% ROI).

• 21-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -5.83% ROI
• 17-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -21.54% ROI
• 25-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.65 Units / 13.84% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 18-28 against the Run Line (-13.9 Units / -23.54% ROI).

• 18-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -22.53% ROI
• 28-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.4 Units / 16.17% ROI
• 17-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.4 Units / -27.18% ROI

Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rangers are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.

The Rangers are 20-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Rangers are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .134.

The Rangers are just 6-21 (.222) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Astros are just 1-17 (.056) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Astros are just 6-11 (.353) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Astros are just 0-26 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.

The Astros are just 4-13 (.235) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .372.

Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends

Rangers hitters are slugging just .273 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are batting just .196 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have struck out in 28% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .552 (363 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

Astros hitters have an OBP of .409 (203 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

The Astros are batting .278 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters are slugging .416 this season — 4th best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .348 (870 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 2.62 (189.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% in the first 5 innings this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 13% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 5.47 (403.1 IP) this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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