Rangers vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 17

Houston Astros relief pitcher Steven Okert looks on after earning the save in a 2-1 win in the 12th inning against the Seattle Mariners in a baseball game Tuesday, April 8, 2025, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
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  • The Rangers are -120 favorites vs the Astros
  • Rangers vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Rangers / Astros TV Channel: RASN | SCHN

The Texas Rangers (-120) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (+100) on May 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Rangers are 21-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 19-28 ATS.

Rangers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 4-4, 4.13 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Peter Lambert 2-3, 2.80 ERA

Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers-1.5 +135O 8 -105-120
Astros +1.5 -165U 8 -115+100

Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+12.00 Units / 133% ROI)
  • Evan Carter has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Evan Carter has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Zach Cole Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+13.80 Units / 153% ROI)
  • Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+11.40 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Braden Shewmake has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+8.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+1.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.35 Units / 5% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 21-22 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -8.21% ROI).

  • 21-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -8.63% ROI
  • 17-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -23.27% ROI
  • 26-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.65 Units / 15.56% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 19-28 against the Run Line (-12.9 Units / -21.36% ROI).

  • 19-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.05 Units / -19.87% ROI
  • 28-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.3 Units / 13.76% ROI
  • 18-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.4 Units / -24.6% ROI

Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Yordan Alvarez +260
Corey Seager +340
Christian Walker +360
Jake Burger +380
Joc Pederson +425

Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Jung 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Corey Seager 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jose Altuve 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cam Smith 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jake Burger 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Christian Walker 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rangers are 20-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Rangers are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .136.

The Rangers are just 0-12 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.

The Rangers are 19-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .864.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Astros are just 0-25 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Astros are just 0-26 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Astros are just 1-17 (.056) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Astros are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .136.

Rangers hitters are slugging just .269 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are batting just .193 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .546 (369 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have struck out in 28% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Astros are batting .278 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OPS of .784 (870 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Astros are batting .322 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .348 (870 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rangers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Rangers have allowed 2.81 runs per game (59/21) at home this season — best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 13% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 5.37 (412.1 IP) this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.