- The Astros (86-48) are -160 favorites vs the Rangers (58-75)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez (10-5), 2.88 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown (-), – ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Texas Rangers (+135) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-160) on Monday, September 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rangers vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 55-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 70-61 ATS.
Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -150 | O 8 -110 | +135 |
| Astros | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -110 | -160 |
Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s matchup with 62.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+20.40 Units / 68% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 58 of his last 94 games (+20.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 44 games (+18.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 away games (+17.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 38 of his last 76 games (+13.20 Units / 17% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 35 of his last 61 games at home (+16.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 62% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+13.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.40 Units / 55% ROI)
Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Trey Mancini | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Trey Mancini | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Trey Mancini | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Perez | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 52 of their last 94 games (+13.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 away games (+5.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+0.95 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 80 of their last 121 games (+31.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 78 games (+7.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+7.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+4.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 70-60 against the Run Line (+3.4 Units / 2.01% ROI).
- 55-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.4 Units / -13.01% ROI
- 65-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.15 Units / 3.59% ROI
- 55-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.85 Units / -11.09% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 70-61 against the Run Line (+10.6 Units / 6.93% ROI).
- 84-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.2 Units / 3.65% ROI
- 47-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -36.25 Units / -25.31% ROI
- 77-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +25 Units / 17.19% ROI
Martín Pérez: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 53% of Martin Perez’s pitches (331/622) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 43% (874/2,014) against Martin Perez this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.
Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of 28% (38 SO in 137 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% (238/461) against Martin Perez this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 87th Percentile.
Hunter Brown: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 46-9 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Rangers are just 4-59 (.063) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.
The Rangers are just 43-9 (.827) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Rangers are just 25-144 (.148) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are just 3-35 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Astros are 42-6 (.875) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Astros are 53-3 (.946) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Astros are 71-5 (.934) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .916.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .302 (3,295 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have drawn 276 walks in 3,980 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers hitters are slugging .443 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 38% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 650 strikeouts in 3,591 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 2,218 strikeouts in 11,310 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .329 (7,719 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 114 of 1,184 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% against Rangers pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% against Rangers pitchers this month (4 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.78 (570.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.
Astros vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Pressly (Astros): Neck, D15
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, D15
- Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Right Elbow, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
- Cole Ragans (Rangers): Calf, D15
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.