Rangers vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 5

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 05, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Astros (86-48) are -160 favorites vs the Rangers (58-75)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez (10-5), 2.88 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown (-), ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Texas Rangers (+135) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-160) on Monday, September 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Rangers vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 55-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 70-61 ATS.

Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -150O 8 -110+135
Astros -1.5 +125U 8 -110-160

Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s matchup with 62.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+20.40 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 58 of his last 94 games (+20.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 44 games (+18.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 away games (+17.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 38 of his last 76 games (+13.20 Units / 17% ROI)

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 35 of his last 61 games at home (+16.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+13.35 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.40 Units / 55% ROI)

Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Jose Altuve 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Trey Mancini 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Jeremy Pena 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Jose Altuve 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Kyle Tucker 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Trey Mancini 0.5 -175 0.5 +120

Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Jose Altuve 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Trey Mancini 0.5 +190 0.5 -275

Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Martin Perez 4.5 -110 4.5 -130
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 52 of their last 94 games (+13.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 away games (+5.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+0.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 80 of their last 121 games (+31.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 78 games (+7.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+7.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+4.30 Units / 18% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 70-60 against the Run Line (+3.4 Units / 2.01% ROI).

  • 55-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.4 Units / -13.01% ROI
  • 65-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.15 Units / 3.59% ROI
  • 55-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.85 Units / -11.09% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 70-61 against the Run Line (+10.6 Units / 6.93% ROI).

  • 84-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.2 Units / 3.65% ROI
  • 47-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -36.25 Units / -25.31% ROI
  • 77-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +25 Units / 17.19% ROI

Hitters have swung at 53% of Martin Perez’s pitches (331/622) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 43% (874/2,014) against Martin Perez this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.

Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of 28% (38 SO in 137 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% (238/461) against Martin Perez this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 87th Percentile.

Hunter Brown: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rangers are just 46-9 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Rangers are just 4-59 (.063) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.

The Rangers are just 43-9 (.827) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Rangers are just 25-144 (.148) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Astros are just 3-35 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Astros are 42-6 (.875) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

The Astros are 53-3 (.946) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .800.

The Astros are 71-5 (.934) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .916.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .302 (3,295 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have drawn 276 walks in 3,980 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rangers hitters are slugging .443 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 38% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Astros hitters have just 650 strikeouts in 3,591 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 2,218 strikeouts in 11,310 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .329 (7,719 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 114 of 1,184 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% against Rangers pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% against Rangers pitchers this month (4 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.78 (570.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.

Astros vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Thomas Pressly (Astros): Neck, D15
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, D15
  • Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10
  • Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Right Elbow, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
  • Cole Ragans (Rangers): Calf, D15

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.