- The Astros (87-48) are -275 favorites vs the Rangers (58-76)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Glenn Otto (6-8), 4.81 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez (14-4), 2.63 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Texas Rangers (+220) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-275) on Tuesday, September 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Rangers vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 55-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 70-62 ATS.
Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 +105 | O 7.5 -110 | +220 |
| Astros | -1.5 -130 | U 7.5 -110 | -275 |
Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 62.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+20.40 Units / 68% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 58 of his last 94 games (+20.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 44 games (+18.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 away games (+17.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 38 of his last 76 games (+13.20 Units / 17% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 35 of his last 61 games at home (+16.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 62% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+13.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.40 Units / 55% ROI)
Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 -105 |
| Glenn Otto | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 52 of their last 95 games (+12.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 away games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 81 of their last 122 games (+32.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+8.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+5.30 Units / 20% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 71-60 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 2.58% ROI).
- 55-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.4 Units / -13.59% ROI
- 65-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.05 Units / 2.8% ROI
- 56-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.85 Units / -10.31% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 70-62 against the Run Line (+9.6 Units / 6.24% ROI).
- 85-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.2 Units / 4.07% ROI
- 47-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -37.35 Units / -25.87% ROI
- 78-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +26 Units / 17.74% ROI
Glenn Otto: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Glenn Otto has walked 18 of 109 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 0 Percentile.
Glenn Otto has walked 27 of 173 batters (16%) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .205 (9-for-44) against Glenn Otto on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .335 — 99th Percentile.
Glenn Otto has walked 55 of 457 batters (12%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Framber Valdez: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (253/369) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (101/144) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (304/448) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (568/826) against Framber Valdez since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 46-9 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Rangers are just 6-59 (.092) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Rangers are just 55-68 (.447) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Rangers are 34-9 (.791) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 53-3 (.946) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Astros are 42-6 (.875) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Astros are just 3-35 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Astros are 28-5 (.848) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (7,671 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .646 (3,645 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Opponents have used a defensive shift against the Rangers on 65% of their plate appearances this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.. *
The Rangers are batting just .221 with two outs since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 655 strikeouts in 3,618 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 275 strikeouts in 1,537 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters have just 785 strikeouts in 4,278 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 114 of 1,192 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 482 of 5,114 batters (9%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 52% of their games since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Pressly (Astros): Neck, D15
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, D15
- Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Right Elbow, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
- Cole Ragans (Rangers): Calf, D15
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