Rangers vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 6

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 06, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Astros (87-48) are -275 favorites vs the Rangers (58-76)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Glenn Otto (6-8), 4.81 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez (14-4), 2.63 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW

The Texas Rangers (+220) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-275) on Tuesday, September 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).

The Rangers vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 55-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 70-62 ATS.

Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 +105O 7.5 -110+220
Astros -1.5 -130U 7.5 -110-275

Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 62.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+20.40 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 58 of his last 94 games (+20.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 44 games (+18.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 away games (+17.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 38 of his last 76 games (+13.20 Units / 17% ROI)

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 35 of his last 61 games at home (+16.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+13.35 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.40 Units / 55% ROI)

Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Jose Altuve 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Martin Maldonado 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000

Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Jeremy Pena 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Jose Altuve 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Kyle Tucker 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Martin Maldonado 0.5 +100 0.5 -145

Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Jose Altuve 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Martin Maldonado 0.5 +270 0.5 -450

Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Framber Valdez 6.5 -135 6.5 -105
Glenn Otto 3.5 -110 3.5 -130
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 52 of their last 95 games (+12.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 away games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 81 of their last 122 games (+32.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+8.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+5.30 Units / 20% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 71-60 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 2.58% ROI).

  • 55-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.4 Units / -13.59% ROI
  • 65-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.05 Units / 2.8% ROI
  • 56-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.85 Units / -10.31% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 70-62 against the Run Line (+9.6 Units / 6.24% ROI).

  • 85-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.2 Units / 4.07% ROI
  • 47-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -37.35 Units / -25.87% ROI
  • 78-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +26 Units / 17.74% ROI

Glenn Otto has walked 18 of 109 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 0 Percentile.

Glenn Otto has walked 27 of 173 batters (16%) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .205 (9-for-44) against Glenn Otto on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .335 — 99th Percentile.

Glenn Otto has walked 55 of 457 batters (12%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Framber Valdez: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (253/369) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (101/144) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (304/448) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (568/826) against Framber Valdez since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rangers are just 46-9 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Rangers are just 6-59 (.092) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Rangers are just 55-68 (.447) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Rangers are 34-9 (.791) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Astros are 53-3 (.946) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

The Astros are 42-6 (.875) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

The Astros are just 3-35 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Astros are 28-5 (.848) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (7,671 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .646 (3,645 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.

Opponents have used a defensive shift against the Rangers on 65% of their plate appearances this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.. *

The Rangers are batting just .221 with two outs since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Astros hitters have just 655 strikeouts in 3,618 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 275 strikeouts in 1,537 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Astros hitters have just 785 strikeouts in 4,278 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 114 of 1,192 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 482 of 5,114 batters (9%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 52% of their games since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Astros pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Thomas Pressly (Astros): Neck, D15
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, D15
  • Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10
  • Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Right Elbow, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
  • Cole Ragans (Rangers): Calf, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.