Rangers vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 7

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 07, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Astros (87-49) are -275 favorites vs the Rangers (59-76)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Cole Ragans (0-2), 4.41 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier (8-9), 3.06 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW

The Texas Rangers (+220) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-275) on Wednesday, September 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).

The Rangers vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 56-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 70-63 ATS.

Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 +105O 8 -105+220
Astros -1.5 -130U 8 -115-275

Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 62.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 23 of his last 26 games (+21.50 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 58 of his last 95 games (+19.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 33 away games (+18.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 45 games (+16.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Bubba Thompson has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+13.35 Units / 69% ROI)

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 62 games at home (+17.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+12.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.15 Units / 21% ROI)

Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Chas McCormick 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Jose Altuve 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Chas McCormick 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Jeremy Pena 1.5 +190 1.5 -275
Jose Altuve 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Martin Maldonado 0.5 -105 0.5 -135

Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
Chas McCormick 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Jose Altuve 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +125 0.5 -175

Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cristian Javier 6.5 -145 6.5 +100
Cole Ragans 2.5 -110 2.5 -125
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 96 games (+13.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+5.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 81 of their last 123 games (+30.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 80 games (+7.20 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+5.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.80 Units / 27% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 72-60 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 3.15% ROI).

  • 56-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.2 Units / -12.05% ROI
  • 65-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.95 Units / 2.02% ROI
  • 57-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.85 Units / -9.54% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 70-63 against the Run Line (+8.4 Units / 5.42% ROI).

  • 85-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.6 Units / 2.88% ROI
  • 47-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -38.45 Units / -26.44% ROI
  • 79-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +27 Units / 18.29% ROI

Cole Ragans has limited playing time.

Cristian Javier: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting just .154 (32-for-208) against Cristian Javier this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 100th Percentile.

Cristian Javier has struck out 39% (89/229) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (58/219) against Cristian Javier in two-strike counts since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .146 (73-for-500) against Cristian Javier since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 177 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 100th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rangers are just 47-9 (.839) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Rangers are just 43-9 (.827) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Rangers are just 56-68 (.452) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Rangers are just 4-60 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Astros are 42-6 (.875) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

The Astros are 37-4 (.902) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

The Astros are 28-5 (.848) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

The Astros are 43-28 (.606) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

Rangers hitters are slugging .487 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .351.

Rangers hitters are slugging .439 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .400.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (4,015 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Rangers have a winning percentage of just 43% at home since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Astros hitters have just 659 strikeouts in 3,630 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .329 (7,750 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Astros hitters have just 2,233 strikeouts in 11,380 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 114 of 1,201 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Rangers have won just just 16% of the time at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 58% of their games since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.72 (588.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Thomas Pressly (Astros): Neck, D15
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, D15
  • Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10
  • Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Right Elbow, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.