- The Astros (87-49) are -275 favorites vs the Rangers (59-76)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Cole Ragans (0-2), 4.41 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier (8-9), 3.06 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Texas Rangers (+220) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-275) on Wednesday, September 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Rangers vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 56-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 70-63 ATS.
Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 +105 | O 8 -105 | +220 |
| Astros | -1.5 -130 | U 8 -115 | -275 |
Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 62.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 23 of his last 26 games (+21.50 Units / 69% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 58 of his last 95 games (+19.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 33 away games (+18.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 45 games (+16.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Bubba Thompson has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+13.35 Units / 69% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 62 games at home (+17.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 62% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+12.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jeremy Pena | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -135 |
Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristian Javier | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +100 |
| Cole Ragans | 2.5 -110 | 2.5 -125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 96 games (+13.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+5.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 81 of their last 123 games (+30.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 80 games (+7.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+5.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 72-60 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 3.15% ROI).
- 56-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.2 Units / -12.05% ROI
- 65-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.95 Units / 2.02% ROI
- 57-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.85 Units / -9.54% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 70-63 against the Run Line (+8.4 Units / 5.42% ROI).
- 85-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.6 Units / 2.88% ROI
- 47-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -38.45 Units / -26.44% ROI
- 79-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +27 Units / 18.29% ROI
Cole Ragans: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Ragans has limited playing time.
Cristian Javier: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .154 (32-for-208) against Cristian Javier this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 100th Percentile.
Cristian Javier has struck out 39% (89/229) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (58/219) against Cristian Javier in two-strike counts since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .146 (73-for-500) against Cristian Javier since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 177 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 47-9 (.839) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Rangers are just 43-9 (.827) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Rangers are just 56-68 (.452) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Rangers are just 4-60 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 42-6 (.875) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
The Astros are 37-4 (.902) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Astros are 28-5 (.848) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Astros are 43-28 (.606) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .487 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .351.
Rangers hitters are slugging .439 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (4,015 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Rangers have a winning percentage of just 43% at home since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 659 strikeouts in 3,630 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .329 (7,750 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Astros hitters have just 2,233 strikeouts in 11,380 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 114 of 1,201 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Rangers have won just just 16% of the time at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 58% of their games since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.72 (588.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Pressly (Astros): Neck, D15
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, D15
- Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Right Elbow, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
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