- The Rangers are -125 favorites vs the Athletics
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning, 12.46 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn, 54.00 ERA
- Watch the game on NBC Sports App
The Texas Rangers (-125) visit Hohokam Stadium to take on the Oakland Athletics (+105) on Friday, March 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Mesa.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rangers vs Athletics Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Rangers are 4-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 3-4 ATS.
Rangers vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +125 | O 9.5 -115 | -125 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -150 | U 9.5 -105 | +105 |
Rangers vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 65.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andy Ibanez has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+1.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+0.60 Units / 12% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 68 of their last 123 games (+18.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 76 away games (+11.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 62 away games (+8.68 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.65 Units / 35% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+13.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 44 games at home (+11.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games at home (+9.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games at home (+8.75 Units / 17% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 5-4 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 5.31% ROI).
- 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -12.68% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 15.5% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -23.62% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 3-4 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -22.45% ROI).
- 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -29.05% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -15.69% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 10.97% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dane Dunning had a strike rate of just 54% (384/708) on sliders last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Dane Dunning has allowed at least one HR in each of his last seven games dating back to August 18th, 2022 — Gerrit Cole has the longest active streak at 11.
Dane Dunning threw fastballs down 48% of the time (493/1,027) last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 97th Percentile.
Dane Dunning has thrown low pitches 56% of the time (670/1,185) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of the 2021 season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 95th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .155 (25 GB hits out of 161 GBs) against Paul Blackburn last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .233 — 99th Percentile.
Paul Blackburn had a strike rate of just 55% (345/633) when behind in the count last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Hitters swung at 39% of Paul Blackburn’s fastballs (316/805) last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — fifth Percentile.
Paul Blackburn threw his fastball for a strike just 59% (473/805) of the time last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Rangers are just 53-11 (.828) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rangers are 11-8 (.579) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 34-47 (.420) at home last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Rangers are just 49-11 (.817) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Athletics are just 29-52 (.358) at home last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Athletics are just 58-87 (.400) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Athletics are just 6-14 (.300) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 13-42 (.236) when allowing 2 or more home runs last season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (8,250 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Rangers hitters had a swing rate of 37% on the first pitch of at-bats last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (9,712 PA’s) against RHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rangers hitters had an OBP of just .295 (4,219 PA’s) against RHP last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Athletics hitters had an OBP of just .278 (2,878 PA’s) at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Athletics hitters had an OPS of just .604 (2,878 PA’s) at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Athletics are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers walked 581 of 6,167 batters (9%) last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since the start of the 2021 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The Athletics have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Athletics pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Athletics pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Oakland Athletics – No Injuries Reported
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
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